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There are 5 bowl games this week to pick from and here are the ones I like the best.

 

My first pick is the Fresno St. Bulldogs playing in the New Mexico Bowl against Colorado State laying 2.5 points. Normally, with the stats favoring CSU as CSU is 5-2 ATS the past 7 meetings between these 2 teams before CSU went to the Mountain West Conference. I just have a gut feeling that Bulldog HC Pat Hill wants to make amends for that beating they took at the hands of Boise State in their last game of the season, which they lost 61-10. CSU is making their first bowl appearance since 2005 when they lost to Navy 51-30. This should be a high scoring game with Fresno State pulling away at the end. Lay the 2.5 points and wait for the late 4th quarter cover.

 

 Next, I’m going with the BYU Cougars in the Las Vegas Bowl against Arizona getting 3 points. I know BYU had their hopes up this year to play in a BCS game and Arizona hasn’t been in a bowl game for 10 years but the Mountain West Conference is 6-1 SU this year against the PAC-10 and with BYU getting 3 points I like my chances with the Cougars.

 

As for the other bowl games this weekend I am leaning towards Wake Forest to make amends against Navy laying 3 points. I also like Troy to cover the 4 point spread against Southern Miss. And I also like the 13 points that Memphis is getting from South Florida.
Did you know that non New Year’s Day dogs getting 12+ points are 9-2 ATS, which is an astounding 82% since 1996.
 

    Good Luck and as always bet with your head and not above it.

 

As for the Pros, this week there are a few games I like, hopefully they will be winners

 

My first pick in the pros this week is Houston on the road at Oakland laying 7 points. This is only the 2nd time in team history that the Texans were made an away favorite but after watching them last week against Tennessee, I think they are playing football with an eye on ending the season with a winning record. The stats also back this pick as Houston is 4-0 ATS versus the Raiders. The Texans are also 4-0 ATS the last 4 vs. the AFC and 5-0 ATS the last 5 games. Also the Raiders the past 3 years are 0-6 SU and ATS the last 2 weeks of the season. Lay the 7 points with Houston as I think the Raiders have packed it in.

 I’m also picking the Philadelphia Eagles on the road this week in Washington laying 5 points. The Eagles are still alive for a playoff spot and after coming off their Monday night win against Cleveland, they look like they are playing inspired football, as they are on a 3 game winning streak. The same can’t be said for the Redskins as they are on 3 game losing streak and their last loss was against the Bengals. This is also a payback game for the Eagles as the Redskins won the first meeting 23-17 in Philadelphia. The stats also back this pick as the Eagles are 9-3-1 ATS the last 13 meetings in Washington, they are also 5-1 ATS the last 6 versus the NFC. Lay the points with the Eagles to keep their playoff hopes alive.

 Next, I am going with the San Francisco 49ers on the road against the St. Louis Rams laying 5.5 points. The 49ers are playing great ball right now thanks to the efforts of Mike Singletary and his ability to get the most out of his players. The Rams are on an 8 game losing streak and I don’t see any reason for that to change this week. The stats also back the 49ers as they are 7-1 ATS the last 8 meetings and 4-0 ATS the last 4 meetings in St. Louis. I look for the 49ers to beat the Rams by double digits as the Rams are just awful this year and already lost once this year to the 49ers by 19 points. This could be a repeat performance.

 

My last  pick this week is the Minnesota Vikings at home against the Atlanta Falcons laying 3 points. I’m sure a lot of you are saying, are you crazy picking against one of the hottest teams this year but something tells me the Vikings are going to come away with this win. The Vikings control their own destiny as they have a one game lead on Chicago in the NFC North. The Falcons are definitely playing great football right now but the Vikings love to blitz and if they can get to Ryan and rattle the rookie he could throw a couple of INTs that cost them the game. The only stat to back this pick is that the favorite in this series is 4-0 ATS the last 4 meetings. Lay the 3 points and watch the more experienced team pull out the victory at home.

 

There are also a few underdogs this week I like. I can definitely see the Chiefs at home staying within the number against the Dolphins as the Dolphins are 0-5 ATS this year as a favorite. I also like the Ravens on the road, Saturday, getting 4 points from the Cowboys, as this should be a close defensive battle and the Ravens are still smarting from the bad call last week against the Steelers, which I feel cost them the game.

 

As for over/unders this week I like the over 43.5 in the Falcons/Vikings game and I also like the over 43 in the 49ers/Rams game, the over 37.5 in the Panthers/Giants game and the over 44 in the Texans/Raiders game.

 

Well that’s it for another week, GOOD LUCK !!

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