Well, I didn’t start off too well this week losing my Boise State pick on a backdoor cover by Tulsa, but that’s why they call it gambling. Here are the rest of my college picks for this week.

 

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My first best bet pick is on Nebraska at home against Texas Tech laying 10 ½ points. I’ve got to tell you that I have been on Nebraska a lot this year and for a very good reason, they are a perfect 5-0 ATS this year and I don’t see that changing this week in their conference home opener against Texas Tech.
Nebraska is an impressive 31-1 SU in conference home openers so look for them to be amped up for this game. Also, I’m not sure if Taylor Potts is going to play for Texas Tech, due to a concussion, but something tells me he will play but how effective he will be is another story. Lay the 10 ½ points here as Nebraska keeps its perfect ATS season going.

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Second on my list of picks is Ohio State on the road at Purdue laying 13 ½ points. I’ve had the honor of watching Purdue the past few weeks and they make a lot of mistakes which won’t bode well for them against OSU. Ohio State after the close game with Navy and the loss to USC has come back with 4 straight and ATS spread wins and are looking very strong here. OSU is 4-0 ATS the last 4 games as a favorite of 10 ½ points or more and are 17-4 ATS the last 21 games on the road as a favorite. Also the favorite in this series is 7-3 ATS the past 10 meetings. I look for Ohio State to take control of this game in the first half and coast the 2nd half. Lay the 13 ½ points and take Ohio State.

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My next pick goes to BYU on the road at San Diego State laying 17 points. This is a lot of points to lay on the road but BYU is 4-1 ATS the last 5 meetings between these 2 teams and the favorite in this series is also 4-1 ATS the past 5 meetings. BYU has also won the last 3 contests by a combined 136 to 56 and I just don’t see that changing here. BYU is by far the better team and should have little trouble with the Aztecs. Lay the 17 points and take BYU.

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This next best bet goes to Buffalo at home giving Akron 8 points. I’m not always comfortable picking a game where both teams have losing records but Akron is in BIG trouble. Akron is down to a 3rd string red shirt freshman QB, Patrick Nicely, and he is coming into a very tough place to play against a decent Buffalo defense. Look for Buffalo to win this game against an awful Akron offense. Lay the 8 points as this one shouldn’t be close. And an added stat, Akron is 0-4 ATS the past 4 contests between these two teams.

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My last best bet goes to Ohio U at home laying 13 ½ points to Miami, Ohio.
I just have to make Ohio U a top choice as they are playing a team without a win this year and to make matters worse, Miami, Ohio has very little offense.
Ohio U is on a roll right now, winning the past 2 games on the road and after a 3 game road trip they come home to face a winless team. Top it off with Ohio U winning and covering the past 3 games and you’ve got a best bet. Lay the 13 ½ points and take Ohio U.

Other games I like but not as strong, Air Force minus 10 ½ at home to Wyoming. I also like Mississippi minus 22 at home to rebound against UAB.
I am leaning towards Miami, Fl on the road to cover the 14 ½ points at Central Florida. I also like Alabama at home to win and cover the 17 points against South Carolina. And last but not least, I like East Carolina to cover the 17 ½ points at home against Rice.

I do like a few dogs this week. I think Iowa getting 2 ½ points from Wisconsin on the road is a live dog. Also like Kansas State at home getting 5 ½ from Texas A&M. I think Florida Atlantic on the road at North Texas getting 2 points is also a live dog. (I’ve always liked Howard Schnellenberger, so I hope they win this game outright, his team could sure use it). I also think that Middle Tennessee State can stay within the 4 ½ points they get from Mississippi State.

Well I did well picking 4 over bets last week so I’m trying it again.
Bowling Green/Ball State over 54, UAB/Mississippi over 53 ½,
Missouri/Oklahoma State over 56 and USC/Notre Dame over 49

Well, that’s it for another week, I will be back shortly with my pro picks.

As always bet with your head not over it.

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