Here we go with my Week 5 NFL picks.

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My first pick goes to the Philadelphia Eagles at home giving the Tampa Bay Bucs 13 ½ points. The Eagles are 5-1 ATS the past 6 games after a bye week.
Philly is also 4-1 ATS the past 5 home games and 8-3 ATS the past 11 games. I just don’t see how the Bucs are going to regroup enough to beat the Eagles after losing a heartbreaker at Washington last week, and the Bucs haven’t won a game this year and I don’t expect much different this week. Look for the Eagles(whoever QBs) to score and probably pick up a score or 2 on defense. Lay the 13 ½ points. (Sorry Nick :( )

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My next pick will go to the Indianapolis Colts on the road at Tennessee giving 3 points. I watched both the Colts and the Titans games last week and these 2 teams are eons apart. The Colts are playing as well as the Titans are bad. I don’t know what is wrong with Tenn. but until they show me they can win I will bet against them. The Colts are a very good road favorite going 5-2 ATS the last 7 road games. The Colts have also beaten the Titans SU the past 9 out of 12 games. Look for Peyton to continue his all-pro season and pick the Titans secondary apart for a couple of TDs and then watch the defense stifle the anemic Titans offense. Lay the 3 points and watch this game unless you have some paint to watch dry. (John C., your Colts are looking good :) )

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Well, can you believe it, Brett Favre has now beaten every NFL team and the Vikings are flying high. They now take on the St. Louis Rams on the road and are giving the Rams 10 points. The Vikings are 4-1 ATS their last 5 road games while the Rams are 3-8 ATS their past 11 home games. I can’t see the Vikings letting up especially with their defense against a very weak Rams offense that only has Steven Jackson and the Vikings are tough against the run. Look for the Minnesota Vikings to put this game away early in the 2nd half. Lay the 10 points and unless you’re a Vikings fan you can pass on watching this game, Favre or no Favre :
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My last best bet this week will be the New England Patriots on the road laying 3 points to the Denver Broncos. The line on this game just goes to show you that not even the oddsmakers believe Denver is for real. I for one am on that bandwagon and I believe that the Pats this weekend will expose the real Broncos team and cover this small spread. (OK, Jim?)
(Admin approved :) )

There are a few other games I like but big spreads are keeping me from making them strong plays. I am leaning towards the Giants at home giving Oakland 16 points, also Pittsburgh on the road giving the Lions 10 points and the Jets on the road on Monday night giving the Dolphins 1 point.

As for over/under bets, I like the over 41 in the Minnesota/St.Louis game, the over 50 in the Houston/Arizona game, and I like the over 44 in the Pittsburg/Detroit game.

As always bet with your head not over it :)