Week 6 NFL picks
Here we go with my Week 6 NFL picks.
My first pick, and this should be no surprise, goes to the Philadelphia Eagles on the road at Oakland giving the Raiders 14 points. I’m not sure I even need to give you stats on this game because unless you live under a rock you have to know that the Raiders have to be a bookie’s nightmare. Last week, the Giants spotted the Raiders 15 ½ points and the Giants had that covered by the middle of the 2nd quarter. The Raiders are just plain awful and I would feel sorry for them if it wasn’t for the fact they were owned by Al Davis. If by some miracle the Eagles don’t cover this number I would consider it shady to say the least.
Take the Eagles and lay the 2 TDs and only if you need a nap watch this game.
Second pick goes to the Minnesota Vikings hosting the Baltimore Ravens and spotting them 3 points. I thought about this pick as the line seemed low at 3 points which is usually what you get for home field advantage, so in essence the oddsmaker are making this a pick’em game. The Ravens are 3-2 but they’ve beat the Chiefs, Browns and the LTless Chargers and then lost the last 2 games to the Bengals and Pats hmmmmm. I also think that Flacco will find the sledding very tough in the Metrodome, and that running on the Vikings defense will also be difficult. Considering these facts and add in Favre, Peterson and Jared Allen and you’ve got a winner with the Vikings. Lay the field goal.
(Once again, I’m sorry, Zack)
Well, it has been awhile since I’ve picked the Pittsburgh Steelers but they look like a very good bet this week at home against the Cleveland Browns laying 14 points. The Browns are a pathetic 2-8-1 ATS the last 11 games against the Steelers and 1-4 ATS the last 5 in Pittsburgh. The Browns did win a game last week against Buffalo by scoring a whooping 6 points, that won’t happen this week as the Steelers get back Troy Polamalu, who will help make life miserable for Derek Anderson, who by the way had 22 yards passing last week, even CBA’s QB could do better than that(Right, Nick 
. Lay the 2 touchdowns and watch Pittsburgh jump out to a big early lead and not look back.
My last pick was a difficult one as I had a few choices but I am going with the Green Bay Packers at home giving the Detroit Lions 13 ½ points. The Packers are 4-0 ATS after a bye week under McCarthy and that’s a trend I take seriously. The Lions have a bye week coming up so my guess is they will play Culpepper and give Stafford another week of rest, which means the Packers defense could get some points off of a few of Culpepper’s miscues. As for stats the Lions are 3-8-1 ATS the last 12 games at Lambeau field, while the favorite is 4-1 ATS the last 5 meetings. These are pretty strong trends, which is why I am picking the Packers to cover the spread.
There are a few other games I like but not as strong. I am leaning towards 2 underdogs this weekend, the Kansas City Chiefs on the road getting 6 ½ points from the Washington Redskins and the Chicago Bears on the road getting 3 ½ points from the Atlanta Falcons. I also am leaning towards the Seattle Seahawks at home to cover the 3 points against the Arizona Cardinals.
As for over/under bets, I like the over 47 ½ in the Detroit/Green Bay game,
the over 45 ½ in the Chicago/Atlanta game, and I like the over 39 in the Carolina/Tampa Bay game.
As for the Giants this week, I just hope that not once during this game will I see Eli do his impersonation of Bambi. (a deer in headlights).
Well, that’s it for another week, so as always bet with your head not over it.
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