Handicapping by Liz

Let me start my picks with a pick on the only college game this weekend.
I like the over 41 ½ in the Army/Navy game. I would like Navy but I truly don’t like the 14 ½ point spread.

I think my first pick every week until they lose is going to be the Indianapolis Colts at home giving the Denver Broncos a touchdown (7 points). The Colts are still a perfect 12-0 even though their ATS record is 8-3-1. Their injury report is a mile long but they keep on winning and for the most part covering. After the past few weeks of getting hammered taking what I thought were damn good picks, this woman is going to stick with a team that finds a way to win and that’s the Colts.

Second on my list this week goes to the other 12-0 team the New Orleans Saints on the road, laying 10 ½ points, at the Atlanta Falcons. The Saints have a 7-5 ATS record but as you witnessed last week they find a way to win. Their injury report is almost as bad as the Colts but like I said in my first pick I’m going to stick with the team that finds a way to win and in the NFC that’s the Saints.

Coming in third this week is the Green Bay Packers on the road giving the Chicago Bears 3 points. The list of injuries for the Packers and Bears are long but the Bears might be missing Jay Cutler this week and that leaves the Bears with quarterback, Caleb Hanie, who?????? The Packers are in the race for a playoff spot so I don’t see them letting up especially if the Bears go with Hanie at QB. The Packers are also 8-2 ATS the last 10 in Chicago and with much on the line for the Packers and very little on the line for the Bears look for the Packers to win and cover the 3 points. I think the Bears have their eye on hibernation and they should prove that this week.

My last best bet this week is the Minnesota Vikings at home giving 6 ½ points to the Cincinnati Bengals. No doubt the Bengals and Carson Palmer are having a stellar year and they are at the top of their division, but the Vikings and Brett Favre are having an awesome year and they are coming home after a terrible showing against the Arizona Cardinals. Look for Favre to keep the offense running on all cyclinders and for Jared Allen to fire up the defense and the home crowd. The Vikings are 3-1-1 ATS at home the past 5 games and after their first loss to Pitt (yeah can you believe the Steelers beat them) they came back with a 12 point convincing win on the road at Green Bay. The Vikings will win this game and cover the spread at home.

Other games I like as regular plays are the New York Jets on the road giving 3 points to Tampa Bay (sorry Nick ). I like the Arizona Cardinals on the road giving the San Francisco 49ers 3 ½ points. I like the Tennessee Titans at home giving the St. Louis Rams 13 points. And once again back by popular demand I will back the New England Patriots at home giving the Carolina Panthers 13 points, this will be the last time I back them if they blow it in the 4th quarter.

As for underdogs this week I like the San Diego Chargers on the road at the Dallas Cowboys getting 3 points. I also like the Buffalo Bills on the road at the Kansas City Chiefs getting a point. And finally I like the Miami Dolphins on the road at the Jacksonville Jaguars getting 3 points. And just to give you a really ugly underdog pick I like the Detroit Lions on the road at the Baltimore Ravens getting 13 ½ points. (too many points, Zack)

As for over/under bets, I like the
over 44 ½ in the Philadelphia/New York Giants game,
over 44 in the Carolina/New England game,
over 50 in the New Orleans/Atlanta game,
over 43 ½ in the Cincinnati/Minnesota game,
over 37 ½ in the Buffalo/Kansas City game.

And let me just add this, if the New York Giants can’t beat the Cowboys at home in December where the Cowboys absolutely suck, then they don’t deserve to make the playoffs and probably won’t.

Well, that’s it for another week.

As always bet with your head not over it :