NFL Football Picks for Week 15
Well we started off the week with a nice win last night on the Colts. I can only hope the rest of the weekend goes just as well.
My first pick this week was the Colts but I didn’t say it was a best bet so I will only count it as a regular play. With that being said my first pick this week is the Baltimore Ravens at home giving the Chicago Bears 10½ points. (happy Zack) The Ravens are still in the hunt for a playoff spot and I don’t think anyone can figure out what happened to the Bears. The Ravens have a perfect 4-0 ATS run when they are favored by 10 ½ or more and between this stat and the fact the Bears are just plain awful this year makes this my top pick this weekend. Take the Ravens and lay the 10½ they will cover.
Second on my list this week goes to the other undefeated team the New Orleans Saints at home on Saturday giving the Dallas Cowboys 7½ points (sorry BJ). I really liked this game a lot more when the line was 7 but I think the bookies need that extra half point to get people to bet Dallas, the ½ point will not deter me from sticking with the Saints at home. Dallas has stayed true to their horrible record in December by dropping their first 2 in December and this will be number 3. The Boys are also 0-5 ATS the last 5 times these teams have met in the regular season. Take the Saints at home to cover the 7½ points and stay undefeated.
Coming in third this week is the San Diego Chargers at home giving the Cincinnati Bengals 6½ points. The main reason this game was pushed up to my third pick is the untimely death of Bengals wide receiver, Chris Henry. I can’t even imagine how the Bengals will be able to recover from this and play this game fully focused. Our prayers are with the Henry family and the Bengals and we can only hope they will be able to recover for the playoffs. Nuf said.
My last best bet this week is a team that has traveled under my radar this season and that’s the Houston Texans on the road giving the St. Louis Rams 11 points.
Houston has been averaging 24 points the last 4 games while the Rams have been averaging only 11 the last 4. Houston has an outside chance of making the playoffs and the Rams, well, they are playing for the first draft pick. The Rams got beat up last week by Tennessee and I’m sure that beating has taken its toll on the team. I’m going with the Texans this week to cover the 11 points in St. Louis.
Other games I like as regular plays are the New York Jets at home giving the Atlanta Falcons 6 points(this is the opening line). I like the Arizona Cardinals to bounce back on the road giving the Detroit Lions 12½ points. I like the Seattle Seahawks at home giving the Tampa Bay Bucs 6½ points (once again sorry, Nick). And last but not least I like the Kansas City Chiefs at home giving the Cleveland Browns a point.
As for underdogs this week, I like the Green Bay Packers on the road at the Pittsburgh Steelers getting a point. I also like the Buffalo Bills at home getting 7 points from the New England Patriots (sorry Jim). And believe it or not I like the Washington Redskins at home getting 3 points from the New York Giants.
I would also like the Miami Dolphins getting 3 points on the road at Tennessee, if Kerry Collins is the QB for the Titans, if Vince Young is the QB all bets are off.
As for over/under bets, I like the
over 43½ in the Houston/St. Louis game,
over 43 in the New York Giants/Washington game,
over 53½ in the Dallas/New Orleans game,
over 43½ in the Cincinnati/San Diego game,
under 37 in the Oakland/Denver game.
Well, that’s it for another week.
I will be back on Monday with my bowl picks for the games Tuesday thru Thursday.
As always bet with your head not over it :
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