Handicapping by Liz

Let’s hope we can get some redemption this week and not get backdoor covered again and again.

My first pick this week is the Green Bay Packers at home giving Seattle 14 points. Green Bay has won and covered the past 3 meetings between these teams and Green Bay has something to play for, you certainly can’t say that for the Seahawks. I look for Green Bay to bounce back from that heartbreaking loss at Pittsburgh last week and take out their frustrations on a very bad road team. The Packers are the bet here as they win and cover the 14 points.

Second on my list this week is the Arizona Cardinals at home giving 14 points to the St. Louis Rams. Once again I’m going against a team that has nothing to play for and is a horrible road team. The Cardinals still have a chance of getting a higher seed in the playoffs and they are coming home after a 2 game road trip.
Arizona is 3-1 ATS the last 4 games between these 2 team. I look for the Cardinals in front of their home crowd to score and score often.
Take the Cardinals at home to cover the 14 points.

Coming in third this week is the New Orleans Saints at home giving the Tampa Bay Bucs 14 points. The Saints lost their chance last week at perfection to a very impressive Dallas team. This week they are facing the Bucs who beat up on the Hawks last week, which gives us a little value in this number. I will back a team that has won 13 games this year to bounce back and take out their frustrations on the Bucs. Take the Saints at home to make amends and cover the 14 points.

My last best bet this week is the Dallas Cowboys on the road at the Washington Redskins giving the Skins 6 ½ points. Dallas has to win out just in case the Giants do as the Giants have the tie breaker with the Boys. After what I saw on Monday night against the G-men, the Skins are going to be a hurting unit on Sunday against Dallas and with the line under a touchdown this looks like a very very good bet. (boy if I had a nickel for every time I’ve said that :
Look for the Cowboys to play with a necessary intensity and I’m not really sure what to look for with the Redskins. Lay the 6 ½ points, Dallas will with this game and cover.

Other games I like as regular plays are the Philadelphia Eagles at home giving the Denver Broncos 7 points. I will stick with my Indianapolis Colts to cover the 5 ½ points at home against the New York Jets. I also like the San Francisco 49ers at home giving the Detroit Lions 12 points.

As for underdogs this week, I like the Baltimore Ravens on the road at the Pittsburgh Steelers getting 3 points. I also like the Oakland Raiders (that’s right I’m actually picking the Raiders) on the road at Cleveland getting 3 points. And this is difficult to say but I like the 7 points and the Carolina Panthers at the New York Giants, just a lot of points for a team that played as well as Carolina did last week.

As for over/under bets, I like the
over 43½ in the St.Louis/Arizona game,
over 38 in the Oakland/Cleveland game,
over 41½ in the Denver/Philadelphia game,
over 40 in the Kansas City/Cincinnati game,
over 41½ in the Seattle/Green Bay game.

Well, that’s it for another week.

I will be back on Monday with my bowl picks for the games Tuesday thru Thursday.

As always bet with your head not over it.