Well, here we are the last football game for about 6 months, bummer 9
I invited Moose the Greek to give his opinion on the Super Bowl, my opinion and pick will follow. I am very happy though that the cream rose to the top and the best 2 teams this year are in the big game. This is the first time in 16 years that both number 1 seeds have been in the Super Bowl, the 2 teams were Buffalo and Dallas, in case you wanted to know. :-) The only thing that would have made this game even bigger is if both teams came into this game undefeated. Without further adieu, here’s Moose the Greek and his pick.

SUPERBOWL picks from “MOOSE the Greek”

Here it is, the last game of the year. GOOD. For the last five plus months I have been eating too much, drinking too much, and betting too much. Now Spring and Baseball ( my YANKEES) are just around the corner. BUT, before we can enjoy Posada, A-Rod, and Jeter we have to finish off the NFL Season with a BIG win……… That is why Liz has been kind enough to ask me for my Superbowl pick. Well here we go ……………

This is a tough pick for me because I like both teams and both QB’s. The Colts and Manning have the experience. The Saints and Brees have the likability factor as they represent New Orleans and what that carries with it. Both teams have great receivers. I give the Colts the edge on defense and the Saints the edge on running backs. Both coaches seem to get things right. All of this makes betting this game not so easy….

The line has been moving since it opened. As of 2/05/10 at 10:05AM on Yahoo the line is COLTS minus 5 and the Over – Under 57 – So here is what the Greek has to say about the game……..

I am taking the COLTS and UNDER in Superbowl XLIV ….. My reason for this bet is ‘A GUT FEELING ‘. That’s all I can say. I think you throw out the stats, and the records, and all the hype and go with your GUT ………………… THAT IS MY TAKE.

Again THANK YOU Liz for letting me ride your coat tails this year. It has been fun. Also GOOD LUCK to any poor bastard who comes across this site and follows my pick. I will be concentrating on the following on Superbowl day ( in no specific order ).. FOOD, BEER, SQUARE POOLS, FOOD, A NAP, FOOD, BEER, AND FOOTBALL……

So long my friends and I hope you all have the final score square in your office pool.

Thanks Moose, and now my picks on the Super Bowl.

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Current line as of this writing is Colts 4½ with an O/U of 56½.
To me there is only one way to look at this game, it’s the Saints defense against Peyton and the Colts defense against Brees. Both teams have exceptional offenses and opportunistic defenses. I know that a lot is being made of Dwight Freeney’s injury and whether he will be effective or not in this game, but I believe there are 11 players on defense <smirk> and even though he won’t be 100% there are 10 other players, who could pick up the slack. The Saints have Shockey with a knee injury and their cornerback Malcolm Jenkins has a hamstring issue, but not much is being made of their injuries. I do think that the Saints will keep this game close in the first half but after Manning figures out what the Saints’ defense is doing, he will find a way to win this game. So the question is will the Colts cover and will this be the high scoring game everyone thinks it’s going to be. Here are a few stats that helped me make up my mind. The Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. They are also 9-1-1 ATS the last 11 games on grass, even though they are a dome team. On the flip side, the Saints are 1-4 ATS their last 5 playoff games, they are also 1-3-1 ATS the last 5 games as an underdog. As for O/U stats, the over stats are amazing, the over is 5-0-1 ATS in the Saints last 6 playoff games, the over is 5-1 ATS for the Colts the last 6 games overall, they are also 4-1 ATS over the total the last 5 games as a favorite. And the last stat is a bit misleading, as we all know the Saints aren’t exactly a perennially Super Bowl participant as this is the first time for them in the big game but I will give it to you anyway, the favorite in this match up is 4-0 ATS the last 4 times these 2 teams have played. So with all that being said I look for the Indianapolis Colts to win and cover and for this game to squeak over the total. My prediction is the Indianapolis Colts 34-24.

As always bet with your head not over it : )

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