WEEK 10 COLLEGE PICKS
Once again my best bets last week went 4-1 ATS with my only loser being Wisconsin who just can’t seem to play on the road like they do at home. And poor Kansas State got their butts kicked last week and things don’t look any brighter this week playing Oklahoma State and on the road to boot. This week there are a few games that I love and quite a few I like so without further adieu here are my week 10 college picks.
My best bets this week start with OHIO STATE at home giving Indiana 27 ½ points. The Buckeyes are coming off an impressive win against Wisconsin last week and now they face an Indiana team they’ve beaten the past 10 times they’ve played each other going 8-2 ATS. I just don’t see Indiana in this game for long as the Buckeye’s defense will keep the Hoosiers out of the end zone and most likely out of their side of the field most of the day. If Ohio State decides to open up their vertical game this week it could be a long day for the Hoosiers, regardless if they do or not they will easily cover this spread. Bet the Buckeyes this game has all the makings of a blowout.
My second pick this week goes to OKLAHOMA at home giving Texas A&M 13 ½ points. This is a revenge game for the Sooners as they lost last year on the road to A&M and that was the first time they lost to the Aggies since 2002. After the loss to Texas Tech Oklahoma came out and demolished Kansas State on the road. Oklahoma cannot and will not take anyone lightly the rest of the year as they are in a dog fight for a spot back in the top 5. The stats also back Oklahoma here as they are 5-1 ATS against A&M at home the past 6 games and the home team is 13-2 ATS the past 15 games in this series. I think A&M will be in this game for most of the first half and then Oklahoma will pull away in the second half the same way they did against Kansas State last week. Oklahoma wants back into the top 5 (they are currently ranked 7th) and a big win here against A&M will help their cause. Lay the 13 ½ points as Oklahoma will take it to A&M.
My next choice this week is on MICHIGAN STATE at home giving Minnesota 28 points. Michigan State is coming home after a disappointing loss last week to Nebraska. The Spartans are 5-0 at home this year while Minnesota is 0-3 on the road. Michigan State does not have the stats in this game as the Golden Gophers are 5-1 ATS in East Lansing, but if MSU wants to get any respect back they are going to have to put it Minnesota and I think they will. Lay the points here, Michigan State will make a statement here at the expense of the Golden Gophers.
Next on my list of best bets this week is HOUSTON on the road giving UAB 27 ½ points. What can you say about Houston’s scoring machine that hasn’t been said before, with Case Keenum at quarterback and his plethora of wide receivers there is no stopping this offense, especially by a 1-7 UAB team. No stats are really needed for this game but if you do need them, UAB is 1-2 at home this year and the favorite is 5-0 ATS the last 5 in this series. With the point spread under 4 touchdowns, I love Houston in this game. Lay the points Houston will roll again.
My last best bet this week is ALABAMA at home spotting LSU 4 ½ points. This is another revenge game and you know I love revenge games. Last year in Baton Rouge LSU beat Alabama and I’m sure the Crimson Tide has had this game circled on their schedule since last year. This will be the game that decides the winner of the SEC West as neither of these teams have another game on their schedule that they will lose. I look for a terrific game out of both of these teams but my gut is telling me Alabama will pull out the victory and in the process cover the spread. This will not be a game for the faint of heart as I’m sure scoring will be tough for both teams, but I think LSU will make the mistake late in the game that will cost them. Lay the points with Alabama and wait for the fatal error by LSU that will give the Tide the victory.
As for other games I like, they include – Tennessee at home giving 20 points to Middle Tennessee State, Air Force at home giving Army 17 points, Stanford on the road giving Oregon State 20 ½ points, Hawaii at home giving Utah State 3 ½ points, and last but not least I like Arizona at home giving 3 ½ points to Utah.
As for underdogs, I like Missouri on the road getting 2 ½ points from Baylor. I like Louisiana Tech on the road getting 3 points from Fresno State. I like Rutgers at home getting 2 points from South Florida. I like Wake Forest at home getting 13 ½ points from Notre Dame and finally I like Iowa at home getting 4 points from Michigan.
As for my over/under picks, I like the over 61 in the Kansas/Iowa State game, the over 57 in the Purdue/Wisconsin game. I like the Stanford/Oregon State game to go over 60 ½ and finally I like the over 69 ½ in the Kansas State/Oklahoma State game.
As for a Marquee game, I do have an opinion on the South Carolina/Arkansas game. Arkansasis home and is giving South Carolina 5 ½ points. Arkansas hasn’t looked all that good the past few weeks barely beating Vanderbilt and Mississippi on the road but South Carolina is on their 3rd straight road game and they are now without the services of Marcus Lattimore. I think Arkansas will win and cover this game against South Carolina as I’m not sure if South Carolina will be able to handle the loss of Lattimore. Lay the points Arkansas will cover this number at home.
That’s it for my college picks this week. I will be back on Friday or Saturday with my NFL picks.
As always, remember to bet with your head and not over it. :)
Leave a Reply