Week 11 of the college football season and my underdogs led the way last week as they went 4-1 ATS and 3-2 SU. What a week in college football as the “game of the century” turned out to be a very boring game, no touchdowns. And then the BCS turns around after Okie State had a tough time with Kansas State and Stanford on the road took care of Oregon State in Corvallis where the Cardinal has had a tough time winning, and they jump Okie State past Alabama but not Stanford, go figure?? Anyway below are my picks for this week in college football.

 

My best bets this week start with HOUSTON on the road giving Tulane 34 points on Thursday night. Once again the discrepancy in talent is reflected in the point spread. Houston with Keenum is a team in an offensive frenzy, they score almost at will against almost everyone. The stats on this game include,Houston8-0 ATS the last 8 times these to met, they are also 4-0 ATS when playing at Tulane. I know this number is ridiculous but you only have to see Houston play once to know there is no number safe from their offense. Lay the 34 points it may take Houston a little while to cover this number but they will.

 

My second pick this week goes to NORTHWESTERN at home giving Rice 16 ½ points. Northwestern surprised Nebraska last week beating them in Nebraska while Rice barely got by UTEP at home. Rice is horrible on the road as they are 1-8 ATS the past 9 road games. These 2 played each other last September with Northwestern winning by 17 and I see no reason why they can’t do it again. The last 2 games for Northwestern at home were losses to Michigan and Penn State, I’m sure they want to make their fan base happy by winning a game at home and convincingly. Lay the points Northwestern will not disappoint their fans.

 

My next choice this week is on VIRGINIA at home giving 10 points to Duke. Virginia is quietly having a very good season while Duke is on a 4 game losing streak playing Florida State, Wake Forest, Virginia Tech and Miami B2B2B2B and now they must face a Virginia team coming home after winning 2 games on the road and they are in a zone. In addition this is a revenge game for Virginia as Duke beat them at home last year in a shootout. I don’t see that happening this year but I do see Virginia taking control of this game early and never looking back. Lay the 10 points here as Virginia will make amends for last year’s lost in spades.

 

Next on my list of best bets this week is ARKANSAS at home giving Tennessee 14 points. Arkansas came home last week after 2 games on the road and beat South Carolina by 14 points and with that being said I just can’t see why they can’t beat Tennessee by at least 14 points especially since the Volunteers do not have the services of their first string quarterback, Tyler Bray.Tennessee is also a bad road team as they haven’t won a game on the road this year, while Arkansas is a perfect 6-0 at home this year. The stats back up this pick as Tennessee is 0-4 ATS the last 4 games at Arkansas and 2-6 ATS the past 8 game overall. Looks for the Razorbacks to care of business this week and not let Tennessee into the game. Lay the 2 touchdowns I feel a blowout coming.

 

My last best bet this week is WISCONSIN on the road spotting Minnesota 27 points. This is a big road game for the Badgers as they are without a road win this year and if they want to stay in the top 15, currently 14th, they have to win this game and win it big. Now Minny is no slouch as they beat Michigan State on the road last week, but Wisconsin is 5-2-1 ATS the last 8 games in Minnesota so they can win there. The question that I ask is, how beat up did the Golden Gophers get last week playing the very physical Michigan State team, while the Badgers were home pounding Purdue?? This is one of the major reasons I’m going with Wisconsin this week as they will wear down the already beat up Gophers and pull ahead late in the 3rd quarter and then cover in the 4th. Lay the points here as Wisconsin has to make a road statement and they will at the expense of Minnesota.

 

As for other games I like, they include – Southern Miss at home giving 9 points Central Florida, North Carolina State on the road giving Boston College 2 points, Kent State on the road giving Akron 5 points, Alabama on the road giving Mississippi State 18 points, and last but not least I like Ohio State on the road giving 7 points to Purdue.

 

As for underdogs, I like Kansas State at home getting 4 ½ points from Texas A&M. I like Kansas at home getting 20 points from Baylor. I like Colorado at home getting 10 ½ points from Arizona. I like Mississippi at home getting 2 ½ points from Louisiana Tech  and finally I like Iowa at home getting 2 1/2 points from Michigan State.

 

As for my over/under picks, I like the over 67 in the Rice/Northwestern game, the over 64 in the Wisconsin/Minnesota game. On Thursday, I like the Houston/Tulane game to go over 73 ½ and finally I like the over 65 in theTexasA&M/KansasStategame.

 

As for a Marquee game, I do have an opinion on the Oregon/Stanford game. Stanford is home and is giving Oregon 3 ½ points. Stanford will have their hands full this week with Oregon as Luck is not going to have Toilolo and Owusu to throw to but I have faith in Andrew Luck to find a way to beat the Ducks. He will truly be an asset to any NFL team that gets him and to me he is already an NFL quarterback the way he reads defenses and his accurate passes. I look for the Cardinal at home, to clip the wings of the Ducks and win and cover this important game for both teams.

 

That’s it for my college picks this week.  I will be back on Friday or Saturday with my NFL picks.

 

As always, remember to bet with your head and not over it.   :)

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