Week 11 of the NFL and the Tim Tebow magic continues, as they beat the Jets last night in Denver, thanks to a great run “again” by Tebow. Maybe, now, John Fox will say that even though we can’t play a “real” pro game, winning is still better than “being screwed”.  Although, Tim Tebow, has the most un-pro-like throwing style, and is an outward Christian (and boy isn’t that a bad thing <smirk>) what he brings to the field is the will to win and he does, what exactly is wrong with that??  Well, I will step off my soapbox now and give you my picks for this week in the NFL.

 

My first best bet this week is on the GREEN BAY PACKERS at home giving the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14 points. (Sorry again, Nick) Believe it or not the past 3 times these teams have met, the Bucs have won ALL 3, so I don’t think the Packers will take this game lightly. However, this is really bad news for the slumping Bucs as the Packers don’t need a reason to run you into the ground, they just DO !! I can’t even think of how Tampa Bay would make this a game as Aaron Rodgers is on fire and so is his offense. I think the only way for the Bucs to cover this number is to get a few interceptions (not likely), a few fumbles, or maybe some punt or kickoff returns and for Rodgers to have a bad game. I don’t think any of these things will happen. Lay the 2 touchdowns this will be another blowout by the best team in the NFL.

 

Next, pick this weekend goes to the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS at home on Monday night giving the Kansas City Chiefs 14 ½ points. (Smile, Jim) The Patriots are finally waking up from their mid season slumber and have decided to start playing football and what better team to wake up for than the New York Jets. This is a big number but I just can’t see a team starting a quarterback who has thrown only 13 passes in his career, namely, Tyler Palko, who quarterbacked at Pittsburgh, not exactly a big throwing team, having a chance in this game. New England should have a good defensive outing in this game as I’m sure there are only a limited number of plays that the Chiefs will be able to execute with any success. I think the Pats are ready to make their move in the AFC East and leave their competition in the dust. Lay the points here as the Chiefs will have a very hard time finding the endzone and Brady and his offense will find the endzone often.

 

My third choice and last best bet this week is on the DETROIT LIONS at home giving the Carolina Panthers 7 points. The more game film teams have to watch on Cam Newton the better prepared they are to play him and the Panthers. Carolina is on a 2 game losing streak and now face the Lions who are coming home after a 2 game road trip. The last time this year the Lions have come home after 2 on the road they won by 11 over the Bears. Carolina is 0-3 on the road this year and I think Cam and the Panthers will find the going in Detroit just as difficult. Detroit is playing for a chance to be in the playoffs, something nobody has said for a very long time, but they are only playing for a wild card spot as they have the misfortune of being in the same division as the Packers, so every game is important for them. Look for the Lions to keep Cam under wraps and for Stafford and the offense to score enough point to win and cover the spread.

 

 

 

As for regular plays, I like the St. Louis Rams at home giving the Seattle Seahawks 3 points. (Smile Clive I finally picked your Rams) I also like the Atlanta Falcons at home to cover the 6 points against the Tennessee Titans. And finally I like the San Francisco 49ers at home to cover the 9 ½ points against the Arizona Cardinals.

 

 

As for underdogs, I like the Cincinnati Bengals on the road getting 7 points from the Baltimore Ravens. (Sorry Zack) I also like the Jacksonville Jaguars on the road getting a point from the Cleveland Browns. Finally I like the Buffalo Bills on the road getting a point from the Miami Dolphins.

 

 

My over/under picks include the over 45 in the Chargers/Bears game, the over 47 ½ in the Panthers/Lions game, the over 46 ½ in the Chiefs/Patriots game on Monday night and another under pick I like the under 34 ½ in the Jaguars/Browns game.

 

 

 

Good Luck this weekend and as always bet with your head not over it.  :)

 

 

Don’t forget to check below these NFL picks for my College picks this weekend.