I will be hard pressed to top my last week’s picks as I went 4-0 ATS with my best bets but I sure hope to keep the streak going with my picks for this week’s Conference Championship games. I am thrilled the Giants are still in it but not as thrilled about the Ravens. No offense to Raven fans but your team lacks so much on offense it would be a very boring Super Bowl sort of like the games between LSU and Alabama this year. Well onto my picks for 2 of the last 3 games in this NFL season, BUMMER.

 

Current NFL playoff record 6-2 ATS.

 

 

My first best bet this weekend is the same as last week as I like the OVER 42 in the New York Giants and San Francisco49ers game. The line in some sports books opened up at 45 and has settled at 42 for the time being. The last time these 2 teams played on November 13th in San Francisco the 49ers beat the Giants 27-20 and that over/under was 42½. I guess the odds makers this time thought that wasn’t high enough so they set it at 45 and the betting public almost immediately bet it down to 42, which I think is very doable even with rain in the forecast. It looks like the rain will be showers and not much accumulation and if they keep the field covered, I don’t think the field will be in that bad a shape. The forecast for Sunday is only a 50% of showers with the temperature in the high 50’s, but we all know how accurate weathermen are. SMILE !! Both teams are just about at full strength even though Eli Manning had a stomach bug and Victor Cruz is nursing a quad injury. For the 49ers Ted Ginn Jr. suffered a right knee injury against the Saints and still remains questionable but I think he’ll play as well. Both these teams will try and establish the run but to me the team that stops the run will eventually be the winner but if the Giants don’t stop the run and fall behind they definitely have more offensive weapons to make a comeback than the 49ers do if they fall behind. I see this game once again in the 20’s for both teams and with that being said the over 42 will hopefully happen earlier than it did last week in the Giants/Packers game. AND let’s hope the officiating in this game is a WHOLE lot better than it was last week in the Giants/Packers game. Bet the over 42 it will happen.  GO GIANTS !!

 

 

 

My last best bet this weekend again is on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS giving the Baltimore Ravens 7 points. (Smile Jim and Brian, Sorry Zack) I must admit there is some bias here as I just don’t see a one dimensional offensive team like the Ravens being able to compete offensively with the Patriots. Like last week it will have to be the Ravens defense that keeps them in this game. I strongly believe that Belichick will be able to devise a defensive plan against Ray Rice, and if you take Ray Rice out of the Ravens offense they will lose, no question about it.  I also believe that between Belichick and Brady they will also come up with a plan to keep the Ravens’ defense off guard especially since they have the best 2 tight ends in the NFL. Both of them will get open and both of them will burn the Ravens. I know these 2 teams usually play very close games as the Patriots haven’t beaten the Ravens by more than touchdown since 2004, but the Pats are 3-1-1 ATS the last 5 games in New England against Baltimore so they know how to beat the Ravens at home. I just have a gut feeling after watching Brady play last week that he is on a mission this year to get back to the Super Bowl and I just don’t see the Baltimore Ravens even with their outstanding defense getting in Brady’s way. The Pats will win and cover this game but it won’t be a game for the faint of heart.

 

 

 

 

 

 

As always remember to bet with your head and not over it.     :)

 

 

Be Sociable, Share!