Handicapping by Liz

Well, I started off the bowl season with 2 wins and 1 loss and one of the wins was an underdog, Wyoming, who won outright. Good start.
My pro picks well, I think if I threw a dart I would do as good. Oh well, with 2 weeks left I still have a shot at having a 500 season. At least the Giants won and still have a remote possibility of making the playoffs.

Below are my weekly and season stats.

My Bowl picks so far
Bowl Best Bets 0-1 ATS and 0-1 SU
Bowl Underdogs 1-0 ATS and 1-0 SU
Bowl Regular Plays 1-0 ATS and 1-0 Su
Over/Unders none yet

For the College Season
College Best Bets 28-35 ATS and 51-12 SU
College Underdogs 34-21 ATS and 24-31 SU
Regular Plays 33-34-1 ATS and 49-17 SU
Over/Unders 25-20-1 ATS

As for the NFL this week
Pro Best Bets 1-3 ATS and 3-1 SU
Pro Regular Plays 4-4 ATS and 2-6 SU
Over/Unders 2-3 ATS

For the Season
Pro Best Bets 27-30 ATS and 42-15 SU
Pro Regular Plays 28-30-2 ATS and 32-28 SU
Over/Unders 22-32 ATS

Well we started off the week with a nice win last night on the Colts. I can only hope the rest of the weekend goes just as well.

My first pick this week was the Colts but I didn’t say it was a best bet so I will only count it as a regular play. With that being said my first pick this week is the Baltimore Ravens at home giving the Chicago Bears 10½ points. (happy Zack) The Ravens are still in the hunt for a playoff spot and I don’t think anyone can figure out what happened to the Bears. The Ravens have a perfect 4-0 ATS run when they are favored by 10 ½ or more and between this stat and the fact the Bears are just plain awful this year makes this my top pick this weekend. Take the Ravens and lay the 10½ they will cover.

Second on my list this week goes to the other undefeated team the New Orleans Saints at home on Saturday giving the Dallas Cowboys 7½ points (sorry BJ). I really liked this game a lot more when the line was 7 but I think the bookies need that extra half point to get people to bet Dallas, the ½ point will not deter me from sticking with the Saints at home. Dallas has stayed true to their horrible record in December by dropping their first 2 in December and this will be number 3. The Boys are also 0-5 ATS the last 5 times these teams have met in the regular season. Take the Saints at home to cover the 7½ points and stay undefeated.

Coming in third this week is the San Diego Chargers at home giving the Cincinnati Bengals 6½ points. The main reason this game was pushed up to my third pick is the untimely death of Bengals wide receiver, Chris Henry. I can’t even imagine how the Bengals will be able to recover from this and play this game fully focused. Our prayers are with the Henry family and the Bengals and we can only hope they will be able to recover for the playoffs. Nuf said.

My last best bet this week is a team that has traveled under my radar this season and that’s the Houston Texans on the road giving the St. Louis Rams 11 points.
Houston has been averaging 24 points the last 4 games while the Rams have been averaging only 11 the last 4. Houston has an outside chance of making the playoffs and the Rams, well, they are playing for the first draft pick. The Rams got beat up last week by Tennessee and I’m sure that beating has taken its toll on the team. I’m going with the Texans this week to cover the 11 points in St. Louis.

Other games I like as regular plays are the New York Jets at home giving the Atlanta Falcons 6 points(this is the opening line). I like the Arizona Cardinals to bounce back on the road giving the Detroit Lions 12½ points. I like the Seattle Seahawks at home giving the Tampa Bay Bucs 6½ points (once again sorry, Nick). And last but not least I like the Kansas City Chiefs at home giving the Cleveland Browns a point.

As for underdogs this week, I like the Green Bay Packers on the road at the Pittsburgh Steelers getting a point. I also like the Buffalo Bills at home getting 7 points from the New England Patriots (sorry Jim). And believe it or not I like the Washington Redskins at home getting 3 points from the New York Giants.
I would also like the Miami Dolphins getting 3 points on the road at Tennessee, if Kerry Collins is the QB for the Titans, if Vince Young is the QB all bets are off.

As for over/under bets, I like the
over 43½ in the Houston/St. Louis game,
over 43 in the New York Giants/Washington game,
over 53½ in the Dallas/New Orleans game,
over 43½ in the Cincinnati/San Diego game,
under 37 in the Oakland/Denver game.

Well, that’s it for another week.

I will be back on Monday with my bowl picks for the games Tuesday thru Thursday.

As always bet with your head not over it :

So, the bowl season is upon us and there are 34 bowl games on tap to choose from. I will start off the bowl season with these picks.

The New Mexico Bowl between Wyoming and Fresno State. The current line on this game is Fresno State by 11 ½ and the over/under is 55. Fresno State should win this game but I like the points and Wyoming to keep the game close. This is my first bowl pick and it’s an underdog play on Wyoming plus the 11 ½

The St. Petersburg Bowl between Central Florida and Rutgers. The current line is Rutgers by 2 ½ and the over/under is 43 ½. Central Florida had a terrific season and is very happy to be in this bowl game, Rutgers on the other hand were hoping for a much better bowl game and could come in a little flat. However, somewhere in the second half I look for Rutgers who definitely played the tougher schedule to pull away just enough to get the win and cover in this game. This is a regular play on Rutgers minus the 2 ½ points.

The New Orleans Bowl between Middle Tennessee and Southern Mississippi. The current line on this game is So. Miss by 3 ½ points and the O/U is 57 ½.
Even though MT has the better record here they certainly didn’t play the better teams. So. Miss. has a big advantage here as they have played in a lot more bigger games. This is a best bet on Southern Mississippi minus the 3 ½ points.

Well, that’s it for the first 3 bowl games more to come soon.

On Thursday night I do like the Indianapolis Colts on the road to cover the 3 points against Jacksonville. Like I said last week I am firmly entrenched in the Colts bandwagon and I do believe they will win and cover this game.

As always bet with your head not over it :

Boy what a difference a week makes. I had only one college bet on an over that lost. My pro picks however were a solid 3-1 ATS and 5-3 ATS on my regular plays. A nice week, and boy I needed it.

Below are my weekly and season stats.

This week my college picks went
College Best Bets none
College Underdogs none
Regular Plays none
Over/Unders 0-1

For the Season
College Best Bets 28-35 ATS and 51-12 SU
College Underdogs 34-21 ATS and 24-31 SU
Regular Plays 33-34-1 ATS and 49-17 SU
Over/Unders 25-20-1 ATS

As for the NFL this week
Pro Best Bets 3-1 ATS and 4-0 SU
Pro Regular Plays 5-3 ATS and 6-2 SU
Over/Unders 2-3 ATS

For the Season
Pro Best Bets 26-27 ATS and 39-14 SU
Pro Regular Plays 24-26-2 ATS and 30-22 SU
Over/Unders 20-29 ATS

I will be back on Thursday with my first bowl picks.

Let me start my picks with a pick on the only college game this weekend.
I like the over 41 ½ in the Army/Navy game. I would like Navy but I truly don’t like the 14 ½ point spread.

I think my first pick every week until they lose is going to be the Indianapolis Colts at home giving the Denver Broncos a touchdown (7 points). The Colts are still a perfect 12-0 even though their ATS record is 8-3-1. Their injury report is a mile long but they keep on winning and for the most part covering. After the past few weeks of getting hammered taking what I thought were damn good picks, this woman is going to stick with a team that finds a way to win and that’s the Colts.

Second on my list this week goes to the other 12-0 team the New Orleans Saints on the road, laying 10 ½ points, at the Atlanta Falcons. The Saints have a 7-5 ATS record but as you witnessed last week they find a way to win. Their injury report is almost as bad as the Colts but like I said in my first pick I’m going to stick with the team that finds a way to win and in the NFC that’s the Saints.

Coming in third this week is the Green Bay Packers on the road giving the Chicago Bears 3 points. The list of injuries for the Packers and Bears are long but the Bears might be missing Jay Cutler this week and that leaves the Bears with quarterback, Caleb Hanie, who?????? The Packers are in the race for a playoff spot so I don’t see them letting up especially if the Bears go with Hanie at QB. The Packers are also 8-2 ATS the last 10 in Chicago and with much on the line for the Packers and very little on the line for the Bears look for the Packers to win and cover the 3 points. I think the Bears have their eye on hibernation and they should prove that this week.

My last best bet this week is the Minnesota Vikings at home giving 6 ½ points to the Cincinnati Bengals. No doubt the Bengals and Carson Palmer are having a stellar year and they are at the top of their division, but the Vikings and Brett Favre are having an awesome year and they are coming home after a terrible showing against the Arizona Cardinals. Look for Favre to keep the offense running on all cyclinders and for Jared Allen to fire up the defense and the home crowd. The Vikings are 3-1-1 ATS at home the past 5 games and after their first loss to Pitt (yeah can you believe the Steelers beat them) they came back with a 12 point convincing win on the road at Green Bay. The Vikings will win this game and cover the spread at home.

Other games I like as regular plays are the New York Jets on the road giving 3 points to Tampa Bay (sorry Nick ). I like the Arizona Cardinals on the road giving the San Francisco 49ers 3 ½ points. I like the Tennessee Titans at home giving the St. Louis Rams 13 points. And once again back by popular demand I will back the New England Patriots at home giving the Carolina Panthers 13 points, this will be the last time I back them if they blow it in the 4th quarter.

As for underdogs this week I like the San Diego Chargers on the road at the Dallas Cowboys getting 3 points. I also like the Buffalo Bills on the road at the Kansas City Chiefs getting a point. And finally I like the Miami Dolphins on the road at the Jacksonville Jaguars getting 3 points. And just to give you a really ugly underdog pick I like the Detroit Lions on the road at the Baltimore Ravens getting 13 ½ points. (too many points, Zack)

As for over/under bets, I like the
over 44 ½ in the Philadelphia/New York Giants game,
over 44 in the Carolina/New England game,
over 50 in the New Orleans/Atlanta game,
over 43 ½ in the Cincinnati/Minnesota game,
over 37 ½ in the Buffalo/Kansas City game.

And let me just add this, if the New York Giants can’t beat the Cowboys at home in December where the Cowboys absolutely suck, then they don’t deserve to make the playoffs and probably won’t.

Well, that’s it for another week.

As always bet with your head not over it :

Not a good week at all except for my college underdog picks which went 3-0 ATS and 2-1 SU. But at least the Giants won
Below are my weekly and season stats.

This week my college picks went
College Best Bets 1-2 ATS and 1-2 SU
College Underdogs 3-0 ATS and 2-1 SU
Regular Plays 2-4 ATS and 3-3 SU
Over/Unders 3-2

For the Season
College Best Bets 28-35 ATS and 51-12 SU
College Underdogs 34-21 ATS and 24-31 SU
Regular Plays 33-34-1 ATS and 49-17 SU
Over/Unders 25-19-1 ATS

As for the NFL this week
Pro Best Bets 0-4 ATS and 2-2 SU
Pro Regular Plays 1-5 ATS and 2-4 SU
Over/Unders 3-2 ATS

For the Season
Pro Best Bets 23-26 ATS and 35-14 SU
Pro Regular Plays 19-23-2 ATS and 24-20 SU
Over/Unders 18-26 ATS

It’s now December and that means the football season is starting to heat up as teams on the bubble fight to get into the playoffs. It also means that the regular season is only 5 weeks away…bummer !! My picks are as follows:

This week my first pick goes to the red hot San Diego Chargers laying 13 ½ points on the road at Cleveland. The Chargers have won 6 in row and are averaging about 30 points a game, Cleveland on the other hand has scored about 30 points this whole season. To help out the Chargers even more the game will start at 4 pm, there isn’t snow in the forecast and the temperature will be in the mid 20’s which is bearable for the warm weather Chargers. I don’t think stats are necessary for this game, lay the points as the Chargers add another win and cover to their record.

Second on my list this week goes to the Pittsburgh Steelers at home giving the Oakland Raiders 2 touchdowns. The word is, that Ben Roethlisberger is a go for this game which is good news for Steeler fans and not good news for the Raiders. Also not good news for the Raiders is that the game is in Pittsburgh and the Steelers are in a very bad mood after losing in OT to their hated rival, Ravens. The Steelers are playing for their playoff life right now and they need this game, so look for them to put the pedal to the metal and take out their frustrations of this past week on the Raiders, who have nothing to play for but pride and are 1-4 on the road this year. Lay the 2 TDs as Pitt will cover the number sometime n the second half.

Next on my list is the Minnesota Vikings on the road giving 3 points to the Arizona Cardinals. Kurt Warner is a game time decision and if he can’t go they will go with Matt Leinart, who will be facing a very physical front 4 of the Vikings, not good news for the Cardinals. The Cardinals are only 2-3 at home while the Vikings are 4-1 on the road. The Vikings are 6-2 ATS the last 8 times these 2 teams have met look for their record to go to 7-2 ATS as they win and cover this small 3 point spread.

My last best bet this week is on the Chicago Bears at home giving the St. Louis Rams 9 points. I know picking the Bears when there are a lot of other games that are much better but if ever the Bears were to win a game BIG this is the one. The Bears are home with snow in the forecast, which is right up their alley. The Rams are 0-4 ATS the last 4 meetings against the Bears and this will be 5. I don’t expect a good game but I do like the Bears to score and score often against a team that packed it in a long time ago. With a little luck, this will be the game that Jay Cutler actually throws more TDs than INTs.

Other games I like as regular plays are the Houston Texans on the road giving a point to Jacksonville. I like the Cincinnati Bengals at home giving the Detroit Lions 13 points. And if ever the New England Patriots needed a road win it is this week, so look for the Pats to bounce back from the beating they took on Monday to cover the 4 ½ points in Miami.

As for underdogs this week I like the Seattle Seahawks at home getting a point from the 49ers. I also like the Kansas City Chiefs at home getting 5 points from the Denver Broncos. And finally I like the red hot Tennessee Titans on the road at Indy getting 6 ½ points.

As for over/under bets, I like the
over 38 in the Denver/Kansas City game,
over 37 in the Oakland/Pittsburgh game,
over 48 ½ in the Minnesota/Arizona game,
over 41 in the St. Louis/Chicago game,
under 40 ½ in the Tampa Bay/Carolina game.

And let me just add this, if the New York Giants can’t beat the Cowboys at home in December where the Cowboys absolutely suck, then they don’t deserve to make the playoffs and probably won’t.

Well, that’s it for another week.

As always bet with your head not over it :

Well, my friends, the college season is winding down and much too soon, as there are only 14 games to choose from this Saturday. So I only have a few picks, with a little luck they will all be winners.

I think, one of the best bets on the card is Houston on the road giving East Carolina 2 ½ points in the CUSA Championship game. Houston is just on a mission this year and I think this game is theirs to win or lose. Houston’s QB, Case Keenum has an incredible 38 touchdowns with only 6 interceptions. I just can’t see how East Carolina can compete with that as their QB has 13 TDs and 10 INTs. The line is small but I think the final will be much wider that 2 ½ points, possibly as much as 14.

I also like California on the road at Washington laying 6 ½ points. Cal is a strong 5-1 ATS the last 6 meetings in Washington and are very much the better team here with or without Best. A very interesting stat is the Washington is 0-3 SU losing by an average of 49-9 during the regular season after playing Washington State. Look for Cal to win and cover this game by a comfortable margin.

My last best bet this week is Wisconsin laying 12 ½ points on the road against Hawaii. Last time Wisconsin played Hawaii on the island they won by 17, I see no reason why they can’t do it again. Wisconsin hasn’t played since November 21st when they lost to Northwestern, look for them to come out fresh and just lay the wood to the much smaller Hawaii team. Lay the 12 ½ this should be for fun.

Other games I like as regular plays are Illinois at home giving Fresno State 3.
Rutgers at home giving West Virginia 1 ½. Louisiana Tech at home giving San Jose State 23 ½ . And in some of the big games I like the favorites Texas -14 ½, Florida -5 ½ and Georgia Tech -1. I would take my Boise State Smurfs but they are an incredible 47 ½ point favorite over New Mexico State. How bad is NMS is my question ??

My dogs this week are Arizona on the road at USC getting 7, Florida Atlantic on the road getting 1 ½ from FIU and I like Pittsburgh getting 2 points on the road at Cincinnati.

As for my over/under bets
I already hit with my over 62 in the Oregon State/Oregon game.
Others I like are
the over 57 in the Wisconsin/Hawaii game,
the over 53 ½ in the Ohio/Central Michigan game (FRIDAY),
the over 69 in the Houston/East Carolina game,
and the over 58 in the New Mexico State/Boise State game,

Well, that’s it for another week, I will be back shortly with my pro picks.

As always bet with your head not over it :

Well it’s Thursday and I have 2 picks for tonight.
I like the OVER 62 in the Oregon State/Oregon game.
I have a small play on the OVER 37 in the Jets/Bills game

Well once again a so so week in college and pros. Lost a few pro over/unders on kicks that would have covered the over, makes me a little suspicious but that’s why they call it gambling. Below are my weekly and season stats.

This week my college picks went
College Best Bets 2-3 ATS and 5-0 SU
College Underdogs 2-2 ATS and 0-4 SU
Regular Plays 2-6 ATS and 4-4 SU
Over/Unders 4-1

For the Season
College Best Bets 27-33 ATS and 50-10 SU
College Underdogs 31-21 ATS and 22-30 SU
Regular Plays 31-28-1 ATS and 46-14 SU
Over/Unders 22-17-1 ATS

As for the NFL this week
Pro Best Bets 2-2 ATS and 3-1 SU
Pro Regular Plays 1-3-1 ATS and 2-3 SU
Over/Unders 1-3 ATS

For the Season
Pro Best Bets 23-22 ATS and 33-12 SU
Pro Regular Plays 18-18-2 ATS and 22-16 SU
Over/Unders 15-24 ATS

(Admin note) I promise to leave picking the games to pros like Liz, cuz I really suck at it.