Handicapping by Liz

First of all, I want to wish ALL the people who actually come to this site to read my picks a very very HAPPY TURKEY DAY.  Next, I am very pleased to have my favorite guest handicapper, Moose the Greek, weigh in with his Thanksgiving picks. I will be back late Thursday night or very early Friday morning with my college picks for the week, but for now,  here’s Moose………

Thanksgiving again and ‘Moose the Greek’ is here to do what he does best.  Yes, eat like a wild animal.  But I am also going to give you a few of my picks for the Holiday.  Liz has had a good year so far and I hope I can keep up her good work.  I like two pro and one college game Thursday.  So here we go:

My first pick is the OVER in the Packers/Lions game. The Pack can score at will and the Lions and Stafford can pass at will.  In my opinion neither team has a very good defense.  So that adds up to points, points, and points.  For now, the total is 55,  that is a lot of points but everyone likes offense on Turkey day.  So going with the theme of the day, OVER eating, OVER drinking, and OVER staying your welcome at a relative’s house, the GREEK says take OVER 55 in this game.

Pick number two in the league that ‘plays for pay’ is what I think is an easy pick.  I like the DALLAS COWBOYS to send the Miami Dolphins to the bottom of the sea.  This could be a 30 point beating.  Miami is on a three game winning streak and they have had some close games but it ends Thursday. The Cowboys are hot and Romo is GREAT in November.  The line right now is Dallas by 7.5. Jump on the Boys like you jump on the pumpkin pie after dinner.  It is back to earth for the fish.

My last pick for Turkey Day is in the night time college game.  In a rivalry that dates back to the Stone Age, and which is coming to an end this year due to realignment, the Longhorns meet the Aggies in College Station.  I am not a big fan of betting games which don’t involve top 25 teams but this game should be fun.  Right now the Aggies are giving 8 points.  I am picking them to cover the 8 and send the Longhorns back to the pasture.  I think Cyrus Gray will run wild and he will be the difference in this game.  So take TEXAS A&M minus the 8 and enjoy the game….

That’s it from the Greek. Thank you, Liz for giving me the forum this week.  I want to wish everyone a Happy and Safe Thanksgiving.  I will leave you with a tip about the Turkey.  Buy the biggest bird you can get.  The carcass can only get so big and the rest is meat. MOOSE THE GREEK has spoken ….

Thanks Moose, I love your picks, and I just want to wish you and your family a Happy Turkey Day.

Well, isn’t the BCS a mess now with Okie State, Clemson and Oklahoma all going down in flames this weekend. I wonder if LSU goes down in the SEC championship game if the BCS is left taking Houston in the BCS championship game against an opponent who isn’t undefeated, it just tickles me that nobody in the BCS will admit this is a HORRIBLE system. Come on man, own up and admit this system sucks!!. Oh well all I can hope for is that LSU gets knocked off and Houston wins out, and then watch the BCS scramble. An OK weekend in college as once again my underdog picks went 4-1 ATS and I picked up 2 more SU underdog winners in Tennessee and Kansas State. In the pros, you have to wonder last night why the Patriots went for a score with only a minute left and the game already won, this might come back and bite Mr. B in the butt, it sure wasn’t the most sportsmanlike thing to do. As for the rest of the NFL, the Giants looked horrible against the Eagles and if I saw one more tipped pass from Kilpatrick get picked by the Dolphins I think I would have told him to throw the ball into the ground because his receivers sure couldn’t catch the ball. I’ve asked one of my guest handicappers, Moose the Greek, to weigh in on Turkey Day, I hope he will. Anyway below are my stats for this week and the season.

Week 12 College stats

Best Bets 3-2 ATS and 3-2 SU

Regular Plays 2-3 ATS and 5-0 SU

Underdogs 4-1 ATS and 2-3 SU

Over/Unders 1-3 ATS

2011 College year to date stats 

Best Bets 33-19-1 ATS and 47-6 SU

Regular Plays 25-32-1 ATS and 45-13 SU

Underdogs 27-24-1 ATS and 21-31 SU

Over/Unders 23-17 ATS

College Marquee game opinion 6-4 ATS and 6-4 SU

Week 11 NFL stats 

Best Bets 2-1 ATS and 3-0 SU

Regular Plays 1-1-1 ATS and 2-1 SU

Underdogs 0-2-1 ATS and 0-3 SU

Over/Unders 3-1 ATS

2011 NFL year to date stats 

Best Bets 20-13 ATS and 26-7 SU

Regular Plays 11-15-2 ATS and 16-13 SU

Underdogs 12-19-1 ATS and 10-21-1 SU

Over/Unders 23-17 ATS

I will be back on late Wednesday or early Thursday morning with either Moose the Greek’s or my Turkey Day picks.

Week 11 of the NFL and the Tim Tebow magic continues, as they beat the Jets last night in Denver, thanks to a great run “again” by Tebow. Maybe, now, John Fox will say that even though we can’t play a “real” pro game, winning is still better than “being screwed”.  Although, Tim Tebow, has the most un-pro-like throwing style, and is an outward Christian (and boy isn’t that a bad thing <smirk>) what he brings to the field is the will to win and he does, what exactly is wrong with that??  Well, I will step off my soapbox now and give you my picks for this week in the NFL.

My first best bet this week is on the GREEN BAY PACKERS at home giving the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14 points. (Sorry again, Nick) Believe it or not the past 3 times these teams have met, the Bucs have won ALL 3, so I don’t think the Packers will take this game lightly. However, this is really bad news for the slumping Bucs as the Packers don’t need a reason to run you into the ground, they just DO !! I can’t even think of how Tampa Bay would make this a game as Aaron Rodgers is on fire and so is his offense. I think the only way for the Bucs to cover this number is to get a few interceptions (not likely), a few fumbles, or maybe some punt or kickoff returns and for Rodgers to have a bad game. I don’t think any of these things will happen. Lay the 2 touchdowns this will be another blowout by the best team in the NFL.

Next, pick this weekend goes to the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS at home on Monday night giving the Kansas City Chiefs 14 ½ points. (Smile, Jim) The Patriots are finally waking up from their mid season slumber and have decided to start playing football and what better team to wake up for than the New York Jets. This is a big number but I just can’t see a team starting a quarterback who has thrown only 13 passes in his career, namely, Tyler Palko, who quarterbacked at Pittsburgh, not exactly a big throwing team, having a chance in this game. New England should have a good defensive outing in this game as I’m sure there are only a limited number of plays that the Chiefs will be able to execute with any success. I think the Pats are ready to make their move in the AFC East and leave their competition in the dust. Lay the points here as the Chiefs will have a very hard time finding the endzone and Brady and his offense will find the endzone often.

My third choice and last best bet this week is on the DETROIT LIONS at home giving the Carolina Panthers 7 points. The more game film teams have to watch on Cam Newton the better prepared they are to play him and the Panthers. Carolina is on a 2 game losing streak and now face the Lions who are coming home after a 2 game road trip. The last time this year the Lions have come home after 2 on the road they won by 11 over the Bears. Carolina is 0-3 on the road this year and I think Cam and the Panthers will find the going in Detroit just as difficult. Detroit is playing for a chance to be in the playoffs, something nobody has said for a very long time, but they are only playing for a wild card spot as they have the misfortune of being in the same division as the Packers, so every game is important for them. Look for the Lions to keep Cam under wraps and for Stafford and the offense to score enough point to win and cover the spread.

As for regular plays, I like the St. Louis Rams at home giving the Seattle Seahawks 3 points. (Smile Clive I finally picked your Rams) I also like the Atlanta Falcons at home to cover the 6 points against the Tennessee Titans. And finally I like the San Francisco 49ers at home to cover the 9 ½ points against the Arizona Cardinals.

As for underdogs, I like the Cincinnati Bengals on the road getting 7 points from the Baltimore Ravens. (Sorry Zack) I also like the Jacksonville Jaguars on the road getting a point from the Cleveland Browns. Finally I like the Buffalo Bills on the road getting a point from the Miami Dolphins.

My over/under picks include the over 45 in the Chargers/Bears game, the over 47 ½ in the Panthers/Lions game, the over 46 ½ in the Chiefs/Patriots game on Monday night and another under pick I like the under 34 ½ in the Jaguars/Browns game.

Good Luck this weekend and as always bet with your head not over it.  :)

Don’t forget to check below these NFL picks for my College picks this weekend.

Week 12 of  the college football season and my best bets this year in college are hitting over 63% and that’s winning in my book. Another week and more shifting in the BCS polls as Stanford goes down to Oregon and Boise State loses again to TCU. I was hoping for Stanford to get by Oregon to see if the BCS would finally push them ahead of Alabama, but it was not meant to be. Boise State missed a chip shot field goal in the final seconds at home on the Smurf turf to give TCU the win. Oh well, onto this week and my picks.

My best bets this week will again start with HOUSTON at home giving SMU 19 ½  points. This should be at least a slightly competitive game as SMU has a winning record. However, SMU averages 27 ppg while Houston averages an astounding 54 ppg. If  you do the math that is a difference of 27 points and Houston is only spotting SMU 19 ½ so to me this is a no brainer. Houston beat SMU last year at SMU by 25 points and the year before at home by 23 points, and I see no reason why this trend cannot continue. Give the nod to the scoring machine known as the Houston Cougars offense and lay the points, Houstonwill cover probably sooner than later.

My second pick this week goes to ARKANSAS at home giving Mississippi State 13 points. Arkansas is starting to heat up after 2 very close wins on the road, at home they beat South Carolina 2 weeks ago by 16 points and then demolished Tennessee last week by 42 points. MSU is a little better on the road this year then at home as they are currently 3-2 SU on the road, but Arkansas is a perfect 7-0 at home this year. The Razorbacks also own the stats as the Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS the last 4 games in Arkansas and the home team is an impressive 8-1 ATS the last 9 meetings. Look for Arkansas to take control of this game early and if they get up by 14 or more points it is basically over as Mississippi State doesn’t have the offense to catch up. Lay the 13 points Arkansas will easily cover this number.

My next choice this week is on Friday night, OKLAHOMA STATE on the road giving 27 points to Iowa State. There are only 2 games left for the Cowboys, this one and Oklahoma in 2 weeks. Now that Okie State is ranked number 2 in the BCS standings I can’t see anything standing in their way, especially Iowa State who they have beaten the past 2 times by a combined score of 93 to 25. If Oklahoma State wants to play in the BCS championship game they can’t let Iowa State trip them up, so I see them as being very focused this week, especially with a bye next week. Look for Oklahoma State to have another big game with Weeden throwing for at least 5 touchdowns. This game should be well in hand by halftime. Lay the 27 points the ‘boys will take care of business.

Next on my list of best bets this week is OKLAHOMA on the road giving Baylor 15 ½ points. The Sooners on the road last year beat Baylor 29 points and with the season waning they cannot afford to be careless here and let Baylor get in this game much less stay in it. They are now ranked number 5 in the BCS poll and they must win out to stay in the top 5 and if they falter this week or next week against Iowa State then they are basically out of the contest for a better BCS bowl game, and that would really tick them off, as they have a real good chance of beating Oklahoma State the last week of the season, moving past them and sticking it to their arch rival. The ducks are in a row, the only thing the Sooners have to do is knock them down one by one.  No stats here as I believe Oklahoma will come out on fire and take control of this game STAT. Lay the points, Oklahoma will make a statement here.

My last best bet this week is WAKE FOREST at home spotting Maryland 10 ½ points. This is a big game for WF as they lost a heartbreaker last week at Clemson as Clemson kicked the game winning field goal with no time left on the clock. This is also one of my favorite bets as this is a revenge game for Wake as they lost last year in Maryland by a score of 62-14 and with these 2 teams going in opposite directions I look for Wake to return the favor. Maryland also lost Danny O’Brien last week so C.J. Brown will be leading the Terrapins this week which has to be good news for Wake’s defense.  Look for Wake Forest to keep scoring even after the game is out of reach.  Lay the points Wake will roll.

As for other games I like, they include – BYU at home giving 22 ½ points New Mexico State, Air Force at home giving UNLV 23 ½ points, Georgia at home giving Kentucky 30 ½ points, Boise State on the road giving San Diego State 18 points, and last but not least I like Stanford at home giving 18 ½ points to California.

As for underdogs, I like Tennessee at home getting 1 ½ points from Vanderbilt. I like Kansas State on the road getting 8 ½ points from Texas.  I like New Mexico on the road getting 24 points from Wyoming. I like Colorado on the road getting 11 points from UCLA and finally I like Idaho at home getting 10 points from Utah State.

As for my over/under picks, on Friday night, I like the over 66 in the Oklahoma State/Iowa State game, the over 51 ½ in the Wisconsin/Illinois game. I like the Kentucky/Georgia game to go over 48 ½ and finally I like the over 61 ½ in the Fresno State/Hawaii game.

As for a Marquee game, I do have an opinion on the Virginia/Florida State game. Virginia is on the road and getting 17 points from Florida State. Both of these teams are 7-3 but for Virginia this is a much bigger accomplishment and they definitely will be focused for this game as FSU took it to Virginia last year in Virginia and you know how I love revenge games. The Cavilers are on a 3 game winning streak with 2 of those wins being on the road. Look for the Cavs to keep this game close and with any luck close enough in the last quarter to give them a chance at an outright win.

That’s it for my college picks this week.  I will be back on Friday or Saturday with my NFL picks.

As always, remember to bet with your head and not over it.  :)

I guess picking college games is more my forte than picking pros this week. I was 4-0-1 ATS with my college best bets this week and the only reason I wasn’t a perfect 5-0 ATS was because I took the Virginia line early at 10 and the line actually closed at 9 ½ but what I put in print is what I count, therefore I will settle for the 4-0-1 ATS week and my guess is so would everyone else. In one week both Stanford and Boise State lost and now the BCS standings get just a little bit more muddied. If Arkansas beats LSU in the SEC championship game and Oklahoma State loses to Oklahoma and Houston wins out and is the only undefeated team left, then what ?? Anyway below are my stats for this week and the season.

Week 11 College stats

Best Bets 4-0-1 ATS and 5-0 SU

Regular Plays 1-4 ATS and 3-2 SU

Underdogs 3-2 ATS and 2-3 SU

Over/Unders 2-2 ATS

2011 College year to date stats 

Best Bets 30-17-1 ATS and 44-4 SU

Regular Plays 23-29-1 ATS and 40-13 SU

Underdogs 23-23-1 ATS and 19-28 SU

Over/Unders 22-14 ATS

College Marquee game opinion 5-4 ATS and 5-4 SU

Week 10 NFL stats 

Best Bets 1-2 ATS and 1-2 SU

Regular Plays 1-2 ATS and 1-2 SU

Underdogs 0-3 ATS and 0-3 SU

Over/Unders 2-2 ATS

2011 NFL year to date stats 

Best Bets 18-12 ATS and 23-7 SU

Regular Plays 10-14-1 ATS and 14-12 SU

Underdogs 12-17 ATS and 10-18-1 SU

Over/Unders 20-16 ATS

I do have an opinion on tonight’s game between Ball State and Northern Illinois. NIU is currently favored by 17 points and with their offense I think they can cover that number at home where they are 4-0 SU.

I will be back on Thursday with my college picks for the week.

Week 10 of the NFL and another team gets the goose egg off their record as Miami blows out Kansas City and at Arrowhead no less. The only remaining winless team is the Colts and I’m sure this isn’t sitting well with Colts’ fans as they are use to being at least 6-2 at this point in the season. Well the Colts are home this week against Jacksonville so maybe just maybe they might get a few breaks and beat the Jaguars, for the sake of the Colts’ faithful I sure hope so for them. Well the Giants pulled off another victory against the Patriots and talk about coincidences, Ballard who made the game winning catch in the end zone wears number 85, which was the number that David Tyree wore in the Super Bowl when he made that catch off his helmet. Coincidence?  Well onto my picks for this week in the NFL.

My first best bet this week is on the HOUSTON TEXANS on the road giving the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3 ½ points. (Sorry Nick) These 2 teams only play each other every 4 years so there is not a lot of stats to use for this game, but the Texans are playing head and shoulders above the Bucs and I just know that the Texans will win this game and easily cover the 3 ½ point spread. Also, the Bucs are not a good home team as they are 1-2 SU this year. They are also not doing well against the spread as they are 3-5 this year. Houston on the other hand is 5-3-1 ATS and 2-2 on the road. Look for Schaub to carve up the Bucs defense and for Freeman to continue throwing more INTs than touchdowns. I love the fact this game is inTampa or the line on this game would be closer or above 7 points. Lay the 3 ½ points the Texans will take no prisoners.

Next, pick this weekend goes to the NEW YORK JETS at home giving the New England Patriots a point. (Real sorry, Jim) What is wrong with the Patriots right now is the question I’m asking, they can’t stop any offense this year as they are giving up almost as many points as they score. The Jets came out last week after the bye and took it the Bills, while the Pats lost with 8 seconds left to the Giants. As you would expect the stats favor the Patriots and the line reflects this as they are only getting a point when home field usually counts for at least 2 points. The Jets beat the Pats in Foxborough just about a month ago and I can see the same outcome here. It will be a tight contest but with the Jets basically having to just win, I will lay the point and take the Jets at home.

My third choice and last best bet this week is on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS at home giving the Denver Broncos 3 ½ points. The Broncos made a statement last week beating the Raiders in Oakland, while the Chiefs got pounded by the Dolphins giving them their first win of the season. You know when a team loses 7 games in a row there is a lot of pent up frustration and it all came out last week against the Chiefs. I think the Chiefs just got a little too complacent afterall they were on a 4 game winning streak and the Dolphins were winless. I look for the Chiefs to come out and show the weaknesses of the Broncos new hero, Tim Tebow, and get a convincing win at home in Arrowhead, after failing their fans last week. The major trend in this game is the over as it has hit 8 times out of the past 10 games in Kansas City. Lay the points here the Chiefs will rebound and win this game by double digits.

As for regular plays, I like the Carolina Panthers at home giving the Tennessee Titans 3 ½ points. I also like the Miami Dolphins at home to cover the 4 points against the Washington Redskins. And finally I like the Philadelphia Eagles at home to cover the 14 points against the Arizona Cardinals, it’s their week to play Dr. Jekyl.

As for underdogs, I like the Cincinnati Bengals at home getting 3 points from the Pittsburgh Steelers. I also like the Minnesota Vikings on the road on Monday night getting 13 points from the Green Bay Packers. Finally I like the New York Giants on the road getting 3 ½ points from the San Francisco49ers.

My over/under picks include the over 41 in the Broncos/Chiefs game, the over 50 ½ in the Vikings/Packers game, the over 41 ½ in the Steelers/Bengals game and because I’m doing so well picking unders I like the under 37 ½ in the Redskins/Dolphins game.

Good Luck this weekend and as always bet with your head not over it.  

Don’t forget to check below these NFL picks for my College picks this weekend.

Week 11 of the college football season and my underdogs led the way last week as they went 4-1 ATS and 3-2 SU. What a week in college football as the “game of the century” turned out to be a very boring game, no touchdowns. And then the BCS turns around after Okie State had a tough time with Kansas State and Stanford on the road took care of Oregon State in Corvallis where the Cardinal has had a tough time winning, and they jump Okie State past Alabama but not Stanford, go figure?? Anyway below are my picks for this week in college football.

My best bets this week start with HOUSTON on the road giving Tulane 34 points on Thursday night. Once again the discrepancy in talent is reflected in the point spread. Houston with Keenum is a team in an offensive frenzy, they score almost at will against almost everyone. The stats on this game include,Houston8-0 ATS the last 8 times these to met, they are also 4-0 ATS when playing at Tulane. I know this number is ridiculous but you only have to see Houston play once to know there is no number safe from their offense. Lay the 34 points it may take Houston a little while to cover this number but they will.

My second pick this week goes to NORTHWESTERN at home giving Rice 16 ½ points. Northwestern surprised Nebraska last week beating them in Nebraska while Rice barely got by UTEP at home. Rice is horrible on the road as they are 1-8 ATS the past 9 road games. These 2 played each other last September with Northwestern winning by 17 and I see no reason why they can’t do it again. The last 2 games for Northwestern at home were losses to Michigan and Penn State, I’m sure they want to make their fan base happy by winning a game at home and convincingly. Lay the points Northwestern will not disappoint their fans.

My next choice this week is on VIRGINIA at home giving 10 points to Duke. Virginia is quietly having a very good season while Duke is on a 4 game losing streak playing Florida State, Wake Forest, Virginia Tech and Miami B2B2B2B and now they must face a Virginia team coming home after winning 2 games on the road and they are in a zone. In addition this is a revenge game for Virginia as Duke beat them at home last year in a shootout. I don’t see that happening this year but I do see Virginia taking control of this game early and never looking back. Lay the 10 points here as Virginia will make amends for last year’s lost in spades.

Next on my list of best bets this week is ARKANSAS at home giving Tennessee 14 points. Arkansas came home last week after 2 games on the road and beat South Carolina by 14 points and with that being said I just can’t see why they can’t beat Tennessee by at least 14 points especially since the Volunteers do not have the services of their first string quarterback, Tyler Bray.Tennessee is also a bad road team as they haven’t won a game on the road this year, while Arkansas is a perfect 6-0 at home this year. The stats back up this pick as Tennessee is 0-4 ATS the last 4 games at Arkansas and 2-6 ATS the past 8 game overall. Looks for the Razorbacks to care of business this week and not let Tennessee into the game. Lay the 2 touchdowns I feel a blowout coming.

My last best bet this week is WISCONSIN on the road spotting Minnesota 27 points. This is a big road game for the Badgers as they are without a road win this year and if they want to stay in the top 15, currently 14^th, they have to win this game and win it big. Now Minny is no slouch as they beat Michigan State on the road last week, but Wisconsin is 5-2-1 ATS the last 8 games in Minnesota so they can win there. The question that I ask is, how beat up did the Golden Gophers get last week playing the very physical Michigan State team, while the Badgers were home pounding Purdue?? This is one of the major reasons I’m going with Wisconsin this week as they will wear down the already beat up Gophers and pull ahead late in the 3^rd quarter and then cover in the 4^th. Lay the points here as Wisconsin has to make a road statement and they will at the expense of Minnesota.

As for other games I like, they include – Southern Miss at home giving 9 points Central Florida, North Carolina State on the road giving Boston College 2 points, Kent State on the road giving Akron 5 points, Alabama on the road giving Mississippi State 18 points, and last but not least I like Ohio State on the road giving 7 points to Purdue.

As for underdogs, I like Kansas State at home getting 4 ½ points from Texas A&M. I like Kansas at home getting 20 points from Baylor. I like Colorado at home getting 10 ½ points from Arizona. I like Mississippi at home getting 2 ½ points from Louisiana Tech  and finally I like Iowa at home getting 2 1/2 points from Michigan State.

As for my over/under picks, I like the over 67 in the Rice/Northwestern game, the over 64 in the Wisconsin/Minnesota game. On Thursday, I like the Houston/Tulane game to go over 73 ½ and finally I like the over 65 in theTexasA&M/KansasStategame.

As for a Marquee game, I do have an opinion on the Oregon/Stanford game. Stanford is home and is giving Oregon 3 ½ points. Stanford will have their hands full this week with Oregon as Luck is not going to have Toilolo and Owusu to throw to but I have faith in Andrew Luck to find a way to beat the Ducks. He will truly be an asset to any NFL team that gets him and to me he is already an NFL quarterback the way he reads defenses and his accurate passes. I look for the Cardinal at home, to clip the wings of the Ducks and win and cover this important game for both teams.

That’s it for my college picks this week.  I will be back on Friday or Saturday with my NFL picks.

As always, remember to bet with your head and not over it.  

Close the book on another week in football and not a terrific week for me in some categories and good in others. Kansas State decided to show up this week and gave Okie State a scare and if you watched the entire LSU/Alabama game you must be an avid football fan as it was one of the most boring games I’ve ever watched. The BCS polls actually still have Alabama ahead of Stanford in the polls, will the Cardinal ever get respect, hopefully they will when the beat Oregon next week. Well if anyone saw the ending of the Steelers game last night and had their money on Pittsburgh I’m sure you were sitting in total disbelief as the Steelers didn’t go for the field goal and then gave up an 80 yard drive to the inept Ravens offense and allowed them score the game winning touchdown with 8 seconds left, COME ON, MAN are you kidding me?? Also, I would like to extend my condolences to my dear Patriot friends, who once again got burned by Eli and did you know that Ballard has the same number that David Tyree wore in the Super Bowl, coincidence, I think not. Anyway below are my stats for this week and the season.

Week 10 College stats

Best Bets 2-3 ATS and 4-1 SU

Regular Plays 2-3 ATS and 3-2 SU

Underdogs 4-1 ATS and 3-2 SU

Over/Unders 2-2 ATS

2011 College year to date stats 

Best Bets 26-17 ATS and 39-4 SU

Regular Plays 22-25-1 ATS and 37-11 SU

Underdogs 20-21-1 ATS and 17-25 SU

Over/Unders 20-12 ATS

College Marquee game opinion 5-3 ATS and 5-3 SU

Week 9 NFL stats 

Best Bets 2-1 ATS and 2-1 SU

Regular Plays 1-2 ATS and 1-2 SU

Underdogs 1-2 ATS and 1-2 SU

Over/Unders 2-2 ATS

2011 NFL year to date stats 

Best Bets 17-10 ATS and 22-5 SU

Regular Plays 9-13-1ATS and 13-10 SU

Underdogs 12-14 ATS and10-15-1 SU

Over/Unders 18-14 ATS

 NOTE – If you can get an over in the Tuesday night game between Northern Illinois and Bowling Green I would bet the over 66.

I will be back with some college opinions on the games during the week.

Week 9 of the NFL and I had another great week with my best bets going 3-0 ATS and SU. I hope to do as well this weekend. I just hope the Giants don’t get beat up too bad today as the Patriots are not in a very good mood. Will another winless team win this weekend, only time will tell. Also I am sorry for the lateness in these picks but I got caught up in the Alabama/LSU game and just lost track of time. Well onto my picks for this week in the NFL.

My first best bet this week is on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS on the road giving the Washington Redskins 3 ½ points. The 49ers are red hot and the Redskins are stone cold. These 2 teams haven’t played each other since 2008 and there is no question which team has fared better in the past 3 years. Washington is still without Santana Moss, Chris Cooley and Tim Hightower and their quarterback spot needs a leader. I just don’t see how they can win against a 49ers team that is brimming with confidence. San Francisco is now on an 8-0-1 ATS run and I believe this streak will get another win this weekend. These 2 teams are going in totally opposite directions and look for the 49ers to take full advantage of that. The 49ers are also a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS on the road this year and I believe this streak will also continue. Lay the small points here as the 49ers will win this game by at least 10 points.

Next, pick this weekend goes to the HOUSTON TEXANS at home giving the Cleveland Browns 10 ½ points. The Texans will have no problem on Sunday with the Cleveland Browns as the Browns have an absolutely offensive offense, they are currently averaging 15 points a game while the Texans are averaging 25 points per game, which is why I’m guessing the line is at 10 ½ .Houston is 5-2-1 ATS their last 8 games against the AFC, Cleveland is 1-7-1 ATS their last 9 against the AFC. I like my odds on this game and I think Houston will win this game easily, just wait for them to get ahead by 2 touchdowns and the Browns won’t be able offensively to catch up. In other words, Houston will be scoring touchdowns while the Browns will be scoring field goals. Houston is the right play lay the points.

My third choice and last best bet this week is on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS at home giving the New York Giants 9 points. This is a double whammy for the Giants as this is a BIG revenge game for the Pats and the Pats are coming home after a loss at Pittsburgh last week. There are not a lot of stats on this game as they only play each other once every 4 years, unless of course they meet in the Super Bowl. So this is strictly a gut pick for me but a very strong gut pick that the Patriots will come out a winner in this contest and will cover the 9 points, not by a lot by definitely more than 9.

As for regular plays, I like the Atlanta Falcons on the road giving the Indianapolis Colts 7 points.  I also like the Pittsburgh Steelers at home Sunday night to cover the 3 points against the Baltimore Ravens. And finally I like the Oakland Raiders at home to cover the 9 points against the Denver Broncos.

As for underdogs, I like the St. Louis Rams on the road getting a point from the Arizona Cardinals. I also like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on the road getting 9 points from the New Orleans Saints.  Finally I like the Cincinnati Bengals on the road getting 3 points from the Tennessee Titans.

My over/under picks include the over 41 ½ in the Bengals/Titans game, the over 50 ½ in the Packers/Chargers game, the over 51 in the Giants/Patriots game and I’m taking another under game, the under 37 ½ in the 49ers/Redskins game.

Good Luck this weekend and as always bet with your head not over it.

Once again my best bets last week went 4-1 ATS with my only loser being Wisconsin who just can’t seem to play on the road like they do at home. And poor Kansas State got their butts kicked last week and things don’t look any brighter this week playing Oklahoma State and on the road to boot. This week there are a few games that I love and quite a few I like so without further adieu here are my week 10 college picks.

My best bets this week start with OHIO STATE at home giving Indiana 27 ½ points. The Buckeyes are coming off an impressive win against Wisconsin last week and now they face an Indiana team they’ve beaten the past 10 times they’ve played each other going 8-2 ATS. I just don’t see Indiana in this game for long as the Buckeye’s defense will keep the Hoosiers out of the end zone and most likely out of their side of the field most of the day. If Ohio State decides to open up their vertical game this week it could be a long day for the Hoosiers, regardless if they do or not they will easily cover this spread. Bet the Buckeyes this game has all the makings of a blowout.

My second pick this week goes to OKLAHOMA at home giving Texas A&M 13 ½ points. This is a revenge game for the Sooners as they lost last year on the road to A&M and that was the first time they lost to the Aggies since 2002. After the loss to Texas Tech Oklahoma came out and demolished Kansas State on the road. Oklahoma cannot and will not take anyone lightly the rest of the year as they are in a dog fight for a spot back in the top 5. The stats also back Oklahoma here as they are 5-1 ATS against A&M at home the past 6 games and the home team is 13-2 ATS the past 15 games in this series. I think A&M will be in this game for most of the first half and then Oklahoma will pull away in the second half the same way they did against Kansas State last week. Oklahoma wants back into the top 5 (they are currently ranked 7^th) and a big win here against A&M will help their cause. Lay the 13 ½ points as Oklahoma will take it to A&M.

My next choice this week is on MICHIGAN STATE at home giving Minnesota 28 points. Michigan State is coming home after a disappointing loss last week to Nebraska. The Spartans are 5-0 at home this year while Minnesota is 0-3 on the road. Michigan State does not have the stats in this game as the Golden Gophers are 5-1 ATS in East Lansing, but if MSU wants to get any respect back they are going to have to put it Minnesota and I think they will. Lay the points here, Michigan State will make a statement here at the expense of the Golden Gophers.

Next on my list of best bets this week is HOUSTON on the road giving UAB 27 ½ points. What can you say about Houston’s scoring machine that hasn’t been said before, with Case Keenum at quarterback and his plethora of wide receivers there is no stopping this offense, especially by a 1-7 UAB team. No stats are really needed for this game but if you do need them, UAB is 1-2 at home this year and the favorite is 5-0 ATS the last 5 in this series. With the point spread under 4 touchdowns, I love Houston in this game. Lay the points Houston will roll again.

My last best bet this week is ALABAMA at home spotting LSU 4 ½ points. This is another revenge game and you know I love revenge games. Last year in Baton Rouge LSU beat Alabama and I’m sure the Crimson Tide has had this game circled on their schedule since last year.  This will be the game that decides the winner of the SEC West as neither of these teams have another game on their schedule that they will lose. I look for a terrific game out of both of these teams but my gut is telling me Alabama will pull out the victory and in the process cover the spread. This will not be a game for the faint of heart as I’m sure scoring will be tough for both teams, but I think LSU will make the mistake late in the game that will cost them. Lay the points with Alabama and wait for the fatal error by LSU that will give the Tide the victory.

As for other games I like, they include – Tennessee at home giving 20 points to Middle Tennessee State, Air Force at home giving Army 17 points, Stanford on the road giving Oregon State 20 ½ points, Hawaii at home giving Utah State 3 ½ points, and last but not least I like Arizona at home giving 3 ½ points to Utah.

As for underdogs, I like Missouri on the road getting 2 ½ points from Baylor. I like Louisiana Tech on the road getting 3 points from Fresno State. I like Rutgers at home getting 2 points from South Florida. I like Wake Forest at home getting 13 ½ points from Notre Dame and finally I like Iowa at home getting 4 points from Michigan.

As for my over/under picks, I like the over 61 in the Kansas/Iowa State game, the over 57 in the Purdue/Wisconsin game. I like the Stanford/Oregon State game to go over 60 ½ and finally I like the over 69 ½ in the Kansas State/Oklahoma State game.

As for a Marquee game, I do have an opinion on the South Carolina/Arkansas game. Arkansasis home and is giving South Carolina 5 ½ points. Arkansas hasn’t looked all that good the past few weeks barely beating Vanderbilt and Mississippi on the road but South Carolina is on their 3^rd straight road game and they are now without the services of Marcus Lattimore. I think Arkansas will win and cover this game against South Carolina as I’m not sure if South Carolina will be able to handle the loss of Lattimore. Lay the points Arkansas will cover this number at home.

That’s it for my college picks this week.  I will be back on Friday or Saturday with my NFL picks.

As always, remember to bet with your head and not over it.  :)