Handicapping by Liz

Another week in the books and once again I had an outstanding week with my best bets in both college and pro going 4-1 and 3-0 ATS respectively. I can’t believe Kansas State got beat that bad, I can only imagine that Oklahoma State is watching that game film with great interest as the Cowboys are hosting KSU this weekend. LSU/Alabama should also be a great game and I will have a pick on that game. The poor Colts are they ever going to win a game?? And what’s up with San Diego, the played like chumps last night, come on, man, you were playing the Chiefs !! I won’t even comment on the Giants/Dolphins game but I was ready to drive down to Giants Stadium and give all the Giants a DiNozzo slap in the head. Nuf said, below are my stats for the week and the season.

Week 9 College stats

Best Bets 4-1 ATS and 4-1 SU

Regular Plays 2-3 ATS and 3-2 SU

Underdogs 0-5 ATS and 0-5 SU

Over/Unders 1-3 ATS

2011 College year to date stats 

Best Bets 24-14 ATS and 35-3 SU

Regular Plays 20-22-1 ATS and 34-9 SU

Underdogs 16-20-1 ATS and 14-23 SU

Over/Unders 18-10 ATS

College Marquee game opinion 4-3 ATS and 4-3 SU

Week 8 NFL stats 

Best Bets 3-0 ATS and 3-0 SU

Regular Plays 1-2 ATS and 2-1 SU

Underdogs 0-3 ATS and 0-3 SU

Over/Unders 2-2 ATS

2011 NFL year to date stats 

Best Bets 15-9 ATS and 20-4 SU

Regular Plays 8-11-1 ATS and 12-8 SU

Underdogs 11-12 ATS and9-13-1 SU

Over/Unders 16-12 ATS

I will be back on Thursday with my college picks. As for Wednesday’s game I am leaning towards Temple to cover the 4 points, but it is only an opinion.

Week 8 of the NFL and we will be halfway thru the season. I hit 2 out of 3 of my best bets and underdogs last week but didn’t hit a regular play. I was as surprised as anyone else on Monday when it took Baltimore over 40 minutes into the game to get a first down, against the Jags??? Are you kidding me?? Are the Ravens that bad away from home?? Thank goodness they are home this week or they might look bad 2 weeks in a row. Well onto my picks for this week in the NFL.

My first best bet this week is on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS at home giving the Cleveland Browns 9 points. The 49ers are off a bye, while Cleveland is off a very boring 6-3 win over Seattle. I have become impressed with San Francisco as they have won their last 4 games and 3 of them were on the road. Alex Smith has more touchdown passes then interceptions and the defense is only allowing 16 ppg.  San Fran also has some streaks going as they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite, 4-0-1 ATS their last 5 home games and 6-0-1 ATS their last 7 games overall. The 49ers are home and their fans are starting to feel like they did back in the day of Montana and Rice. There is a lot to be said about this game being driven by emotions and I feel the 49ers are at the top of that wave. Lay the 9 points the 49ers will cover.

Next, pick this weekend goes to the BUFFALO BILLS at home giving the Washington Redskins 6 points. The Bills are off a bye and are an impressive 5-1 ATS the last 6 games off their bye week.Washingtonis in trouble as they lost Tim Hightower, Chris Cooley and Santana Moss and Grossman is in the hospital with pneumonia. Beck played well at times last week for the Skins but he will find the sledding very difficult in Buffalo this weekend and I put the over/under INTs at over 3 this weekend. The Bills are playing well and they are 3-0 at home this year. With this line under a touchdown I love the Bills, lay the 6 points I don’t believe this will be much of a contest.

My third choice and last best bet this week is on the DETROIT LIONS on the road giving the Denver Broncos 3 points. The Lions are off their second consecutive loss and are now on the road to play a Tim Tebow Denver team that finally won a game last week after 3 losses in a row. Denver is a tough place to play but these Lions are a very good road team as they are 3-0 away from home this year and 4-0-1 ATS their last 5 road games and they are an outstanding 9-2-1 ATS run their last 12 games overall. I know the Broncos won last week and it is in part because of the spirit and tenacity of Tebow, but overall he did not play well, as he missed a few wide open receivers and he takes off running before checking all his options. I think he will find that the Lions defense will be more formidable than the Dolphins defense was last week. I think the Lions get back on track this week and easily cover the 3 points.

As for regular plays, I like the Baltimore Ravens at home giving the Arizona Cardinals 13 points. I’m taking another shot with the Ravens, but only because they are home.  I also like the San Diego Chargers on the road, Monday night to cover the 3 ½ points against the Kansas City Chiefs. And finally I like the Houston Texans at home to cover the 9 ½ points against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

As for underdogs, I like the Dallas Cowboys on the road getting 3 ½ points from the Philadelphia Eagles. I also like the Seattle Seahawks at home getting 3 points from the Cincinnati Bengals. Finally I like the Indianapolis Colts on the road getting 9 points from the Tennessee Titans. (I’m making this pick, hoping the Colts stay within the 9).

My over/under picks include the over 43 ½ in the Dolphins/Giants game, the over 47 ½ in the Vikings/Panthers game, the over 47 ½ in the Saints/Rams game and finally I’m taking another crack at an under game, the under 38 ½ in the Browns/49ers game.

Good Luck this weekend and as always bet with your head not over it.

Don’t forget to check below these NFL picks for my College picks this weekend.

Well thank God for best bets because I went 4-1 ATS with them last week, but my regular and underdog plays were sub par so I am out to correct that and still keep my best bets intact. What a finish to the Michigan State/Wisconsin game, now who saw that coming? Big games this week again and I will have picks on a few of them. Below are my week 9 college picks.

My best bets this week start with OKLAHOMA STATE at home giving Baylor 14 points. The Cowboys are a legitimate contender for a BCS bowl, I’m not sure if it is the championship game but I’m sure they will get a decent BCS game. They are totally dominating the teams they play, including Texas, Texas A&M and last week Missouri all on the road. The stats back this pick as OSU is 5-0 ATS and SU the past 5 in this series, and 6-0 ATS the past 6 games at Oklahoma State. I watched them dismantle Missouri and Texas on the road the past 2 weeks and now they are home to play a Baylor team just starting to feel their oats. This will not be a contest as Okie State will have this game well in hand by midway thru the 3^rd quarter, lay the 14 points as they may double this spread.

My second pick this week goes to HOUSTON at home on Thursday night, giving Rice 27 ½ points. This is truly a revenge game for the Cougars as they lost last year on the road to Rice without Keenum at the helm. Houston put a whooping on Marshall last week and I so no reason they will let up for this Rice game. As for the stats, Houston is 4-0 ATS their last 4 home games, 4-0 ATS their last 4 games as a home favorite and 5-0 ATS their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10 ½ points or more. Oh and did I mention that in 2009 when Keenum did play they beat Rice 73 -14, nuf said. Houston will cover the 27 ½ points.

My next choice this week is on WISCONSIN on the road giving Ohio State 7 points. On this website last week I picked Michigan State as my marquee game pick of the week and I based it almost entirely on the fact that Wisconsin hadn’t been on the road for 6 weeks. Now I would have never been able to see the ending of that game coming but Michigan State was clearly going to cover. Now I’m making Wisconsin a best bet this week on the road again at Ohio State. Normally I would never give OSU points at home especially off a bye but they have not exactly set the world on fire this year as they have been averaging 23 points a game and that average includes the 42 points they scored against Akron, who is 1-6 on the year. The stats don’t even favor the Badgers although they are 8-1 ATS the past 9 conference games. If Wisconsin wants to get back into the Top 10 and is to be taken seriously they must beat OSU convincingly on the road and that is what I am banking on. I do see this game as close but if Wisconsin gets ahead by 10 or more points I don’t believe OSU will be able to close that gap. Lay the points here as Wisconsin gains some respect back.

Next on my list of best bets this week is TEXAS at home giving Kansas 28 points. This is a Texas team off a bye and who lost their last 2 games at home to Oklahoma and Oklahoma State. In comes a Kansas team the gives up on average 50 points a game. I really don’t think you need many stats here but they do favor Texas,  as Kansas is 1-7 ATS the last 8 meetings and they are 0-4 ATS the past 4 in Texas. If Texas is not covering this spread by halftime I’ll be extremely surprised. Lay the 28 points, Texas is in a foul mood about the past 2 home games and the Jayhawks will be their whipping boy.

My last best bet this week is ARIZONA STATE at home spotting Colorado 30 ½ points. ASU is off a bye coming home after a 2 game road trip that they split, losing their last game on the road at Oregon. In comes Colorado who has still not won an away game in many years, currently at 21 consecutive games. Colorado has so many injuries and add to that their quarterback, Tyler Hansen, may not play due to a concussion and this poor Buffalo team is in for a beating. I know this is a lot of points but Colorado lost last week in Oregon by 43 points so I don’t see this pointspread as out of reach for ASU. Lay the 30 ½ points here ASU should romp.

As for other games I like, they include – East Carolina at home giving 16 ½ to Tulane, Clemson on the road giving Georgia Tech 3 ½ points, Arkansas on the road giving Vanderbilt 10 points, Texas Tech at home giving Iowa State 15 points, and last but not least I like Stanford on the road giving 7 points to USC.

As for underdogs, I like Rutgers at home getting 6 ½ points from West Virginia. I like Syracuse on the road getting 3 points from Louisville. I like Wake Forest on the road getting 7 points from North Carolina. I like Kansas State at home getting 13 ½ points from Oklahoma and finally I like Navy on the road getting 20 ½ points from Notre Dame.

As for my over/under picks, I like the over 50 in the Central Michigan/Akron game, the over 58 ½ in the Oklahoma/Kansas State game. I also like the Iowa/Minnesota game to go over 54 and finally I like the over 64 in the Air Force/New Mexico game.

As for a Marquee game, I don’t have a lot of other marquee games to pick from as I have given you my picks on a few of them already. However, I do have an opinion on the Michigan State/Nebraska game. Michigan State is getting 4 points in this game and even though they could be hungover after beating Wisconsin in East Lansing last week, I do believe they are contenders in their conference and MSU will eventually after the first or maybe even the second quarter get into this game and either win it outright or lose it by a field goal or less. I like Michigan State again this week, to get the cover and possibly the outright win.

That’s it for my college picks this week.  I will be back on Friday or Saturday with my NFL picks.

As always, remember to bet with your head and not over it.

Another week in the books and I had a great week with my best bets in both college and pro going 4-1 and 2-1 ATS respectively. Kansas State has been on fire and I’ve been on them for over a month, I didn’t pick Stanford last week because I gave too much respect to Washington that will not happen again, Stanford is for real. I also am happy to report that I actually hit an under pick as I had the under in the Seattle/Cleveland game and I believe it is the lowest scoring game in a very long time as Cleveland won it 6-3, and the poor Colts just keep fading further into the abyss. Below are my stats and for the week and the season.

Week 8 College stats

Best Bets 4-1 ATS and 5-0 SU

Regular Plays 1-4 ATS and 4-1 SU

Underdogs 0-4-1 ATS and 0-5 SU

Over/Unders 2-2 ATS

2011 College year to date stats 

Best Bets 20-13 ATS and 31-2 SU

Regular Plays 18-19-1 ATS and 31-7 SU

Underdogs 16-15-1 ATS and 14-18 SU

Over/Unders 17-7 ATS

College Marquee game opinion 4-2 ATS and 4-2 SU

Week 7 NFL stats 

Best Bets 2-1 ATS and 3-0 SU

Regular Plays 0-3 ATS and 0-3 SU

Underdogs 2-1 ATS and 2-1 SU

Over/Unders 2-2 ATS

2011 NFL year to date stats 

Best Bets 12-9 ATS and 17-4 SU

Regular Plays 7-9-1 ATS and 10-7 SU

Underdogs 11-9 ATS and 9-10-1 SU

Over/Unders 14-10 ATS

I have no opinion on Tuesday’s game between Troy and FIU or Wednesday’s game between UConn and Pitt, but I will be back on Thursday with my college picks for the week.

Week 7 of the NFL and I finally hit all 3 of my best bets last week and I hope to keep the streak going this week. Once again there are only 13 pro games this week so there will be less picks until the bye weeks are over. It was a tough loss for the Bills this past weekend losing by 3 points to the Giants, if only Kirkpatrick had just a little more on that throw it would have been a touchdown and most likely a Buffalo win. New Orleans lost to Tampa Bay and Detroit lost to the 49ers, now there is only 1 undefeated team left and that is the Green Bay Packers. So below are my picks for this week.

My first best bet this week is on the GREEN BAY PACKERS on the road giving the Minnesota Vikings 9 points. The Packers have an added bonus this week as the Vikings benched McNabb for Ponder, good luck with that move, Leslie. If you saw the Vikings play the Bears on Sunday night last week, I really don’t have to write much about this game. The Packers will come into Minnesota and leave with a decisive win. Lay the 9 points and wait for the end of the game to collect. Oh and Leslie, I would ponder my next move, right after the game.

Next, pick this weekend goes to the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS at home giving the Indianapolis Colts 13 ½ points. The Saints lost last week in Tampa and the Colts haven’t won a game, not a good combination. The Saints are a gaudy 15-5 ATS after a straight up loss, they are 5-1 ATS their last 6 home games and the Colts are in an awful downward spiral that will only get a little worse this week. I rarely like to lay double digit points but this Colts team is floundering without their leader and the Saints are off a rare loss and are home. All the signs point to a blowout so lay the points the Saints will cover.

My third choice and last best bet this week is on the CAROLINA PANTHERS at home giving the Washington Redskins a point. This is one of those games where all the stats point to the Redskins but withCarolinaplaying so well behind Cam Newton and the Skins starting Beck at QB, I just find it hard to back the Skins here. Call this a gut pick but all the Panthers have to do is win this game to cover and I think they will. Lay the point the Panthers will win this game.

As for regular plays, I like the Baltimore Ravens on the road giving the Jacksonville Jaguars 9 points. (Smile Zack, I’m finally picking your team). I also like the Oakland Raiders at home to cover the 4 points against the Kansas City Chiefs. And finally I like the Tennessee Titans at home to cover the 3 points against the Houston Texans.

As for underdogs, I like the Denver Broncos on the road getting a point from the Miami Dolphins. I also like the Atlanta Falcons on the road getting 3 ½ points from the Detroit Lions. Finally I like the St. Louis Rams on the road getting 13 points from the Dallas Cowboys.

My over/under picks include the over 39 ½ in the Ravens/Jaguars game, the over 43 ½ in the Steelers/Cardinals game, the under (yes under) 41 in the Seahawks/Browns game and finally the over 41 ½ in the Broncos/Dolphins game.

Good Luck this weekend and as always bet with your head not over it.

Week 8 of the college season and the games are starting to take on more meaning as the season is just about halfway over. You can’t help wondering what 2 teams will be in the big BCS championship game but right now my money is on Alabama and Stanford, if this does happen you heard it here first. Well enough chit chat onto my picks for this week.

My best bets this week start again with the ALABAMA Crimson Tide at home giving Tennessee 29 points. I said it last week and I’ll say it again this Alabama team is playing at a level that could beat a few of the NFL teams. I think Tennessee could have scored a touchdown or maybe even 2 against the Tide but without Tyler Bray at quarterback for the Volunteers they really don’t stand a chance to get into double digits. Also, whoever did the scheduling for Tennessee should be shot putting LSU and Alabama back to back. I have to believe Tennessee is hurting after playing LSU and now to get Alabama in Tuscaloosa, well I just don’t see this being any kind of a contest for Alabama. I’m not even going to mention the many streaks that will continue after this week, just know that Alabama will win and cover this spread easily very easily. Once again lay the lumber, the Tide will roll.

My second pick this week goes to ARKANSAS on the road giving Mississippi 15 points. This is another game that I don’t understand the scheduling as Mississippi played Alabama last week and now they are facing Arkansas team who is off a bye. Arkansas holds a note worthy trend in this series, as they are 6-1 ATS the last 7 meetings. Arkansas definitely has the better offense and I can’t see Mississippi running on all cylinders this weekend after the pounding they took last week. Look for Arkansas to score early and have the game well in control going into the 4^th quarter as Mississippi will run out of gas. Lay the 15 points, Arkansas will cover.

My next choice this week is on HOUSTON at home giving Marshall 22 ½ points. Normally I would not give Marshall this many points but Houston is a scoring machine a with Case Keenum at the controls for the Cougars they are averaging 47 points a game while Marshall is averaging just 14 ppg. Houston will not be looking past this game as in 2008 Marshall beat Houston, not that I consider this a revenge game, but a game Houston will not take lightly. Once Houston gets ahead by more than 2 touchdowns it is all over as Cato, the QB for Marshall is averaging just 6 yards per pass. Houston is home and has Keenum that is just about all the Cougars need to win and cover the 22 ½ points.

Next on my list of best bets this week is KANSAS STATE on the road giving interstate rival Kansas 10 ½  points.Kansas State was under my radar for the first few weeks of the season but now they are high on my list of surprise teams this year. I had them the past 2 weeks as an underdog play and now for the first time in 5 games they are the favorite and rightfully so. The Wildcats are 12-4 ATS the last 16 times these 2 teams met and the favorite in this series is 13-3 ATS the last 16. KSU is undefeated, beating Texas Tech on the road last week, while Kansas has lost their last 4 games. KSU is on a mission and I just don’t see how Kansas will be able to stand in their way. This should be another high scoring game as Kansas has allowed an average of 47 points the last 4 games. Look for KSU to stay undefeated and boost their record to 6-1 ATS. Lay the 10 ½ points the Wildcats will take no prisoners.

My last best bet this week is CLEMSON at home spotting North Carolina 10 ½ points. This is a revenge game as UNC beat Clemson last year so Clemson will be focused as they want to remain undefeated and what better place to do it then in Death Valley. To add to UNC’s problems in this game the coach suspended linebacker Okakpu for reasons he won’t tell us. Clemson has a plethora of streaks going here, just to mention a few they are 6-0 ATS the last 6 conference games, 4-0 ATS the past 4 as a favorite, and 5-0 ATS the past 5 games overall. Clemson also has Tajh Boyd who is the leading passer in the ACC.  I look for a close game in the first 3 quarters with Clemson pulling away and covering in the 4^th.  Lay the 10 ½ points Clemson will cover.

As for other games I like, they include – Nevada at home giving 10 ½ to Fresno State, Washington State at home giving Oregon State 3 points, Toledo at home giving Miami, Ohio 16 ½ points, Texas A&M on the road giving Iowa State 20 ½ points, and last but not least I like Virginia Tech at home giving 20 ½ points to Boston College.

As for underdogs, on Friday, I like Rutgers on the road at Louisville getting 2 points. I like Georgia Tech on the road getting 2 ½ points fromMiami,FL. I like Auburn on the road getting 21 points from LSU. I like Northwestern at home getting 4 points from Penn State and finally on Thursday night I like UCLA on the road getting 4 ½ points from Arizona

As for over/unders, I like the over 62 in the Kansas State/Kansas game, the over 56 ½ in the Arkansas/Mississippi game. I also like the Marshall/Houston game to go over 60 and finally I like the over 46 in the Tennessee/Alabama game.

As for a Marquee game, I do have an opinion on the Wisconsin/Michigan State game.  Michigan State is getting 7 points in this game and they beat Wisconsin in East Lansing last year, add to that this is, believe it or not, Wisconsin’s first game on the road this year. These 2 teams play very close games and I see this one as going down to the wire as well.  Also if this game does go into OT having the 7 points insures at least a push.  I like Michigan State in this game at home against a Wisky team that hasn’t been in a hostile stadium this year.

That’s it for my college picks this week.  I will be back on Friday or Saturday with my NFL picks.

As always, remember to bet with your head and not over it.

Finally, I went 3-0 ATS and SU with my best bets in the pros and a decent 3-2 ATS in college. I’m more than a little happy that my underdog picks in college went 3-2 SU, so not a bad week in college overall but in the pros I had a so-so week as only my best bets hit over 500, but you have to take what you can get and overall I’m not unhappy with the week. I would like to say thank you to all of you who wrote to the webmaster, Jim, and told him you missed my write-ups that really made me feel good that I’m not doing this in vain.  Below are my stats and now all of them are over 500 for the season.

Week 7 College stats

Best Bets 3-2 ATS and 5-0 SU

Regular Plays 3-2 ATS and 4-1 SU

Underdogs 3-2 ATS and 3-2 SU

Over/Unders 2-2 ATS

2011 College year to date stats 

Best Bets 16-12 ATS and 26-2 SU

Regular Plays 17-15-1 ATS and 27-6 SU

Underdogs 16-11 ATS and 14-13 SU

Over/Unders 15-5 ATS

College Marquee game opinion 3-2 ATS and 3-2 SU

Week 6 NFL stats 

Best Bets 3-0 ATS and 3-0 SU

Regular Plays 1-2 ATS and 2-1 SU

Underdogs 1-2 ATS and 1-1-1 SU

Over/Unders 1-3 ATS

2011 NFL year to date stats 

Best Bets 10-8 ATS and 14-4 SU

Regular Plays 7-6-1ATS and 10-4 SU

Underdogs 9-8 ATS and 7-9-1 SU

Over/Unders 12-8 ATS

I have no opinion on tonight’s game between UCF and Arkansas State, but I will be back on Thursday with my college picks for the week.

Week 6 of the NFL and I’m not happy that my best bets are under 500, I will see what I can do this week to remedy that. Once again a big CONGRATS to the Buffalo Bills for beating the Eagles and to Detroit for being 5-0 for the first time since the 1950’s, yes it has been that long. The Giants are playing the Bills this week and the Bills are getting points, this makes me wonder what the odds makers were watching last week. Well below are my picks for this week and I feel confident that I will get my best bets back over 500. There will be less picks during the bye weeks, because this year the NFL is resting 6 teams per week, instead of just 4, which means 3 less games.

My first best bet this week is on the OAKLAND RAIDERS at home giving the Cleveland Browns 6 ½ points. I was very impressed the way the Raiders came out and played last week at Houston especially with the passing of Al Davis. I think with the Raiders coming home in their first game without Al Davis in his usual seat will just add to the intensity the Raiders will play with this week. I’m sure the Browns know that this will be a monumental task winning in Oakland, which is why I believe with the line under 7 points, this is my number one best bet.  I’m basing my pick here not only on emotion but on a few stats as well. The Raiders are 5-1 ATS the past 6 games against the AFC, they are also 5-1 ATS the past 6 games. Lay the 6 ½ points, the Raiders should win this game on talent alone, the emotion is just a bonus.

Next, pick this weekend goes to the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES on the road giving the Washington Redskins a point. The Eagles are in a downward spiral right now and if they had any other coach than Andy Reid I would say this spiral could continue, but I believe Reid will have his team playing up to their potential this week and the Skins are going to feel the brunt of it. I watched the game last week between the Eagles and the Bills and Michael Vick threw 4 INTs and the Eagles offense looked totally out of sync. Not only am I basing my best bet on emotion again but also a few stats to support my Eagles pick. The Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS the last 5 in Washington and the road team is 4-0 ATS the last 4 in this series.  Lay the point as the Eagles should come out with guns blazing and take the Skins out of their game and they will win and cover this 1 point spread with ease.

My third choice and last best bet this week is on Monday night and it is the NEW YORK JETS at home giving the Miami Dolphins 7 points. The Jet are coming home after a 3 game road trip that was a disaster for them as they loss all 3 games. I’m sure Rex Ryan is fit to be tied and will surely have his team ready to take out their frustrations on the winless Dolphins, who by the way beat the Jets the last time they met in New York, 10-6. So you’ve got yet another pick I am making that involves a lot of emotion on the Jets side as they have to get off this 4 game losing streak and they don’t want to be the first team that the Dolphins beat, especially since Henne is out and Moore is in at QB for the Phins. Look for the Jets to get back to what they do best and win this game by at least 2 touchdowns.

As for regular plays, I like the New Orleans Saints on the road giving the Tampa Bay Bucs 4 ½  points. I also like the Green Bay Packers at home to cover the 14 ½ points against the St. Louis Rams. And finally I like the New England Patriots at home to cover the 7 points against the Dallas Cowboys.

As for underdogs, I like the San Francisco 49ers on the road getting 4 points from the Detroit Lions. I also like the Buffalo Bills on the road getting 3 points from the New York Giants.  Finally I like the Houston Texans on the road getting 9 points from the Baltimore Ravens.

My over/under picks include the over 50 in the Bills/Giants game, the over 55 ½ in the Cowboys/Patriots game, the over 47 ½ in the Rams/Packers game and finally the over 43 ½ in the Dolphins/Jets game.

Good Luck this weekend and as always bet with your head not over it.

Don’t forget to check below these NFL picks for my College picks this weekend.

Week 7 of the college season and I am back from Las Vegas to give you my picks on the games this week. I truly hope you played the 7 picks I gave you early last week I did in fact play them myself, and by the way they went a perfect 7-0 including an outright winner with my underdog pick of Kansas State. Sure wish I could count them in my stats but I don’t feel that would be right. I hope I can match that again this week. So here are my picks for this week in college football.

My best bets this week start with the red hot ALABAMA Crimson Tide on the road giving Mississippi 25 ½ points. This Alabama team is playing more on a pro level than a college level. I got to watch the game last week as they dismantled Vanderbilt, not only on the scoreboard but the physical punishment they dealt them too. Vandy was truly beaten in all aspects of the game and to tell you the truth, Alabama will beat themselves before someone beats them. Mississippi believe it or not has the stats in this game as Alabama is currently 1-4 ATS the past 5 in Mississippi and the underdog is 5-1 ATS the past 6, which just adds to the focus Alabama will have on this game. Alabama will win this game by at least 30 points it will be more if the defense scores too. Lay the lumber, the Tide will roll.

My second pick this week goes to STANFORD on the road giving Washington State 21 points. Stanford with Andrew Luck quarterbacking their offense is clicking on all cylinders and their defense hasn’t allowed any team to score 20 points. This is significant because Stanford is averaging in the mid 40’s per game (do the math). The stats also favor Stanford here as they are 6-1 ATS the last 7 games at WSU and the favorite in this series is 4-1 ATS the past 5 meetings. I think both streaks will continue and Stanford will cover the 21 points sometime in the second half.

My next choice this week is on OKLAHOMA on the road at Kansas giving Kansas 36 points. You’re probably saying why are you giving a team 36 points and my question to you is this, if I gave you the chance last week to bet Texas getting 36 points from Oklahoma would you have bet Texas, if the answer is yes then you would have lost as they got beat by 38 points. My next question to you is do you think Kansas is as good as Texas, if your answer is no, then this game is a no-brainer. Lay the points Oklahoma is not about to have a let down against Kansas.

Next on my list of best bets this week is TEMPLE at home giving Buffalo 21 points. Temple has been a very good team this year but not at home, they have lost the past 2 at home and I’m sure they want to make their fan base happy by kicking someone’s butt, and what better team than Buffalo. Temple is 2-0 ATS the past 2 games with Buffalo and they won both games by a combined 79-13. I look for Temple to make their fans happy this week by dealing out a whopping on the Buffalo Bulls. Lay the points Temple will win this game going away.

My last best bet this week is CINCINNATI at home spotting Louisville 16 ½ points. When I was in Vegas last week I wrote next to the UNC/Louisville game that the only thing you needed to know was that “Louisville sucks” and then we all bet UNC. Then of course as we know with UNC covering and just 42 seconds on the clock, UNC gave up a meaningless score to Louisville and the Cardinals covered. I don’t believe Louisville will get that lucky 2 weeks in a row as the Bearcats will score enough making a backdoor cover unlikely. Cincy is 5-0 ATS the last 5 games as a favorite and 4-0 ATS the last 4 games as a home favorite. To add to this I don’t think Louisville’s starting QB, Stein will play and if he does only in a limited capacity, which leaves the Cards withBridgewater, who in his defense did throw the TD against UNC. However, the last time Louisville visited Cincinnati they lost 41-10 in 2009, I see that score not too far off. Lay the points Cincinnati will win and cover the spread.

As for other games I like, they include – Pittsburgh at home giving 7 points to Utah, Rutgers at home giving Navy 4 points, Wisconsin at home giving Indiana 39 ½ points, Boise State on the road giving Colorado State 31 ½ points, and last but not least I like Washington at home giving Colorado 14 points.

As for underdogs, once again I’m staying on the KSU bandwagon and I like Kansas State on the road at Texas Tech getting 3 points. On Thursday, I like San Diego State on the road getting 3 points from Air Force. I like Baylor on the road getting 7 points from Texas A&M. I like Michigan on the road getting 2 points from Michigan State and finally I like Miami on the road getting 3 points from North Carolina.

As for over/unders, I do like the over 55 ½ in the Hawaii/San Jose State game, the over 48 ½ in the Michigan/Michigan State game. I also like the Indiana/Wisconsin game to go over 60 and finally I like the over 54 ½ in the Boise State/Colorado State game.

As for a Marquee game, I do have an opinion on the Oklahoma State/Texas game. Oklahoma State is giving Texas 7 ½ points in this game and with the beating Texas took last week I just don’t see them recovering from that especially with the offense that Oklahoma State brings to this game, Texas just won’t be able to keep pace. Oklahoma State will pull away in the second half to win and cover this game.

That’s it for my college picks this week.  I will be back on Friday or Saturday with my NFL picks.

As always, remember to bet with your head and not over it.

Sorry for not being able to post too much last weekend as I was in Vegas, but I sure hope you looked at my college picks before I left as they went a PERFECT 7-0 including an outright upset by Kansas State. I sure hope I can do as well this week. I will be back on Thursday with my college picks for this weekend AND the good news is (hopefully), I will not miss another week of posting my picks for this football season.