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	<title>Handicapping by Liz &#187; Super Bowl Picks</title>
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	<description>Expert Handicapping of this weeks Pro and College Football Games</description>
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		<title>SUPER BOWL PICKS</title>
		<link>http://nflfxliz.info/wordpress/2009/01/super-bowl-picks/</link>
		<comments>http://nflfxliz.info/wordpress/2009/01/super-bowl-picks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jan 2009 23:37:24 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Liz's Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[My prediction – Pittsburgh 31  Arizona 21]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Super Bowl Picks]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nflfxliz.info/wordpress/?p=411</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[   It saddens me to do the write-up on the “final” game of the football season (I don’t count the Pro Bowl) as it means another football season has come and gone and now ...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It saddens me to do the write-up on the “final” game of the football season (I don’t count the Pro Bowl) as it means another football season has come and gone and now we will have to go through withdrawal as we wait for 7 months for the start of another football season.</p>
<p>I am very pleased with my playoff record, so far, as I am 7-3 ATS and 6-2 ATS on the over/unders.</p>
<p>I have to admit that this is a very difficult game for me to handicap as my heart is definitely with the Cardinals but my gut is telling me that the Steelers should win this game. On paper the Steelers have the more experienced Super Bowl players, as they have over 20 players with Super Bowl experience, the Cardinals only have 5 players with SB experience. Now you might say this is an irrelevant stat but this is the biggest game of the NFL season and the 2 weeks before the game is full of hype, interviews, media all over the place, and the players bombarded with questions about everything imaginable. So the edge definitely goes to the Steelers here. This is a classic match up, as it is the #1 defense against the #4 offense and the edge always seems to go to the defense. The Steelers will not make the same mistake that Philly did, they will not blitz Warner from the outside but straight up the middle where Warner is the most vulnerable, as he is a pocket passer. Big Ben on the other hand seems to pass better when he is under pressure and flushed from the pocket. Edge Steelers. The wide receivers edge definitely goes to the Cardinals, while the running game to me is pretty much a wash at this point as the Cardinals are finally playing James, who is finding holes in the line to run, as for the Steelers, Willie Parker is finally healthy enough to find running room too. So it comes down to the slogan of last year’s SB, “Who wants it more” the experienced Steelers or the surprising first-time Cardinals. My money has to be on the <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Steelers</strong></span> to cover the 7 point spread, but it wouldn’t break my heart if the Cardinals won <span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: Wingdings; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-char-type: symbol; mso-symbol-font-family: Wingdings;"><span style="mso-char-type: symbol; mso-symbol-font-family: Wingdings">J</span></span><br />
<span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>My prediction – Pittsburgh 31  Arizona 21</strong></span></p>
<p>As for the over/under which is currently at 47, the number seems a bit low to me as both teams have been averaging 30+ points in the playoffs. With that being said, I like the <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>OVER</strong></span> A LOT !!! </p>
<p> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" align="center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16pt; color: #008000; font-family: 'Verdana','sans-serif';">Your SUPERBOWL winner from MOOSE the Greek </span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" align="center"><strong></strong> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" align="center"><strong></strong> <strong>Well, I went 3-1 ATS the last time Liz was nice enough to give me some of her air time.  That was week 1 of the “Playoffs, Playoffs, Don’t talk about Playoffs.”   Oops, sorry, I can’t help but go into my Jim Mora impersonation when I say Playoffs.  Anyway my only loser was the Colts, and they should have beaten the Chargers.</strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" align="center"><strong><br />
     Now its time to wrap the season in a big bow and cash in with a BIG win on SUPERBOWL  43.  Here are a few sure bets for the big day:</strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" align="center"><strong>1.      I will eat and drink like a wild hippopotamus.</strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" align="center"><strong>2.      I will NOT watch any pre game hoopla as I will be eating.</strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" align="center"><strong>3.      I will become one with the refrigerator.</strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" align="center"><strong>4.      Did I mention I will be eating plenty ????</strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" align="center"><strong>     Now for my game picks :</strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" align="center"><strong>  I like the <span style="color: #ff0000;">ARIZONA CARDINALS </span>plus the 7 points and I am taking OVER 47.  Here are my reasons.   I have cousins named Cardinal.  I like pretty birds.  I once got drunk in Arizona.  But most of all I think it is their time.  Kurt Warner will use this win to springboard himself into the HOF.  I like the over because both teams will come out throwing and both teams will be rested and hungry.  That is my story.  “I am who I think I am.”          <br />
     Again I want to thank Liz not only for the invite to share my 31 plus years of Football wagering knowledge with you but also for her stats and picks throughout the season.  You did good Liz (for a Giants fan).  Keep up the good work and I hope to see you on the web next year.  Until then, drink heavily…… </strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" align="center">           </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto">I want to do a shoutout to my long time friend, Kim H., who was nice enough to read my write-ups every week, and told me she enjoyed them. Thanks Kim !!</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto">I want to thank my friend Moose for taking time to put his predictions in writing. If I hear from my friend Peter, I will post his pick too.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto">I look forward to doing this again next year. Thanks to all those who took the time to read my picks.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto">I will be back after the draft to give you my opinion on who got the best of the litter.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto">Take care and as the song goes “See you in September”</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto">And as always bet with your head and not over it.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto"><span style="color: #ffffff;">.<br />
</span></p>
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