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	<title>Handicapping by Liz &#187; Week 17 NFL and College Bowl Picks</title>
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	<description>Expert Handicapping of this weeks Pro and College Football Games</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Tue, 07 Feb 2012 16:00:51 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>Week 17 NFL and College Bowl Picks</title>
		<link>http://nflfxliz.info/wordpress/2008/12/week-17-nfl-and-college-bowl-picks/</link>
		<comments>http://nflfxliz.info/wordpress/2008/12/week-17-nfl-and-college-bowl-picks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Dec 2008 03:47:55 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Liz's Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Week 17 NFL and College Bowl Picks]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Well, so far not bad as I had TCU and the under, TCU won but didn’t cover but the game did go under the total, so I split there and then I had Notre Dame on Wednesday night and they beat Hawaii soundly.   

]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well, so far not bad as I had TCU and the under, TCU won but didn’t cover but the game did go under the total, so I split there and then I had Notre Dame on Wednesday night and they beat Hawaii soundly.</p>
<h3>There are 5 more bowl games to pick from this weekend and here are the ones I like the best.</h3>
<p>  <a href="http://nflfxliz.info/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/florida-state.png"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-189" style="border: 0px;" title="florida-state" src="http://nflfxliz.info/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/florida-state.png" alt="" width="160" height="106" /></a></p>
<p>My first pick is the <span style="color: #ff0000;">Florida State Seminoles </span>playing in the Champs Sports Bowl against Wisconsin laying 5.5 points. FSU to me is just the stronger team here as the Badgers are pretty much a one-dimensional running team and that will hurt them against FSU. The stats are pretty favorable too as FSU is 3-1-1 in bowl games versus the current Big Ten opponents and 8-2-1 ATS all-time. Bowden is 18-10-1 ATS in bowl games while Wisky’s head coach Bielema is 2-6 ATS as an away dog including bowls. The Badgers have also struggled this year against good defensive teams as they only scored a total of 40 points against Ohio State, Penn State and Iowa combined this year. With the line under a TD I look for FSU to win and cover the number.<br />
  <a href="http://nflfxliz.info/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/california.png"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-297" style="border: 0px;" title="california" src="http://nflfxliz.info/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/california.png" alt="" width="160" height="106" /></a></p>
<p>Next, I’m going with the <span style="color: #ff0000;">California Golden Bears </span>in the Emerald Bowl against the Miami Hurricanes laying 8 points. The Bears come into this bowl game having won their last 2 games while Miami lost their last 2 games. This game is also being played in San Francisco which gives Cal a big fan edge. Cal has one of the best running backs in the country in Jahvid Best and I feel he will be a deciding factor in this game. Miami has a very young team so look for the Bears to keep pressure on the young Miami QBs. There aren’t a lot of stats for this game but I just have a feeling that Cal’s running game will keep Miami’s offense off the field and their defense on the field too long. I look for Cal to cover the number and the game to <strong><span style="color: #ff0000;">UNDER</span></strong> the 50 point total.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>As for the other bowl games this weekend I am leaning towards <span style="color: #ff0000;">Central Michigan </span>with QB LeFevour to have a good game against Florida Atlantic even though FAU’s head coach Howard Schnellenberger is 5-0 SU and ATS in bowl games. I also am leaning towards <span style="color: #ff0000;">North Carolina </span>over West Virginia <span style="color: #ff0000;">and in a low scoring affair I like Northern Illinois</span> over Louisiana Tech, even though the game is in La. Tech’s backyard.<br />
 <br />
Good Luck and as always bet with your head and not above it.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3>As for the Pros, this week there are a few games I like alot</h3>
<p> <a href="http://nflfxliz.info/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/baltimore-ravens.gif"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-340" style="border: 0px;" title="baltimore-ravens" src="http://nflfxliz.info/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/baltimore-ravens.gif" alt="" width="32" height="32" /></a></p>
<p> My first pick in the pros this week is the <span style="color: #ff0000;">Baltimore Ravens </span>(smile Zack) at home this week against the Jacksonville Jaguars laying 11.5 points. The math is simple for the Ravens they win and their in. The Ravens are a very confident team right now and are on a high after beating Dallas in Dallas last week. The stats verify that, as the Ravens are 8-2 ATS the past 10 games and are unmerciful to teams with losing records as they are 6-0 ATS against losing teams. Look for the Ravens to have this game in hand from the onset. Lay the 11.5.</p>
<p> <a href="http://nflfxliz.info/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/pittsburgh-steelers.gif"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-341" style="border: 0px;" title="pittsburgh-steelers" src="http://nflfxliz.info/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/pittsburgh-steelers.gif" alt="" width="32" height="32" /></a></p>
<p> I’m also picking the <span style="color: #ff0000;">Pittsburgh Steelers </span>at home this week against Cleveland laying 11 points. The Steelers have the number 2 spot locked up for the playoffs but after last week’s loss to the Titans I can’t see the Steelers losing this game and go into the playoffs on a 2 game losing streak. Also, Cleveland is just terrible this year and they haven’t scored an offensive touchdown in 5 games. The stats heavily favor the Steelers as they are 7-2-1 ATS the past 10 games with Cleveland and the favorite is 6-2-1 ATS the last 9 meetings. I just don’t see Cleveland playing hard in this game as they couldn’t even score a point against the Bengals last week at home. Look for Pittsburgh to score on both sides of the ball this week and cover the 11 point spread easily.</p>
<p> <a href="http://nflfxliz.info/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/falcons.gif"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-196" style="border: 0px;" title="falcons" src="http://nflfxliz.info/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/falcons.gif" alt="" width="32" height="32" /></a></p>
<p> Next, I am going with the <span style="color: #ff0000;">Atlanta Falcons </span>at home this week against the St. Louis Rams laying a whopping 15 points. I know in pro football laying that many points is very dangerous but the Falcons are on a roll and if they win they will win the NFC South and if  Carolina loses they will get the #2 seed in the playoffs and a first round bye, so much is at stake for the Falcons. As for the Rams, they haven’t won a game since October 19th and I certainly don’t see that changing this week. The stats also favor the Falcons as the home team is 5-0 ATS the last 5 meetings and the favorite is 6-0 ATS the last 6.  Look for the Falcons to score, and often, and win this game by at least 3 touchdowns.</p>
<p>  <a href="http://nflfxliz.info/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/tampa-bay-buccaneers.gif"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-342" style="border: 0px;" title="tampa-bay-buccaneers" src="http://nflfxliz.info/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/tampa-bay-buccaneers.gif" alt="" width="32" height="32" /></a></p>
<p>My last  pick this week is the <span style="color: #ff0000;">Tampa Bay Buccaneers </span>(happy Nick) at home against the Oakland Raiders laying 13 points. Once again a very large pointspread and with good reason, the Bucs need a win here and a Dallas loss to get into the playoffs. The Bucs are on a 3 game losing streak which is why they are in this situation. This is a must win for the Bucs and it helps that they are playing the Raiders. The home team is 4-0 ATS the last 4 meetings between these 2 teams and if Garcia is on, they should win this game. Oakland is also 0-3 SU and ATS versus the NFC South and this year Oakland has been outscored on the road 25-13, let’s hope the Bucs can come up with a couple more points and cover the 13 point spread.<br />
There are also a few underdogs this week I like. I can definitely see the Saints at home staying within the number against the Panthers, as the Panthers have nothing to play for. And I also like the <span style="color: #ff0000;">Colts</span> at home this week getting points from Tennessee that will most likely rest a lot of their starters as the Titans have nothing to play for. I would also like the Giants<br />
this week getting points from Minnesota but at the time of this posting, Coughlin hasn’t said who he is going to rest this weekend.</p>
<p> <br />
As for over/unders this week I like the <span style="color: #ff0000;">over 43 in the Lions/Packers</span> game and I also like the <span style="color: #ff0000;">over 44 in the Rams/Falcons </span>game, the <span style="color: #ff0000;">over 35.5 in the Jaguars/Ravens</span> game and the <span style="color: #ff0000;">over 41 in the Pats/Bills</span> game.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Well that’s it for another week, GOOD LUCK !!</p>
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